US Secretary of War endorses Bitcoin as strategic tool in national security
## Market Snapshot In the “Bitcoin Future Price Predictions” market, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026,...
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Nation-state adoption boosts Bitcoin’s institutional confidence, says Adam Back
## Market Snapshot In the “Bitcoin Future Price Predictions” market, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026,...
Federal Reserve shifts focus to potential rate hikes amid inflation concerns
## Market Snapshot In the context of the Federal Reserve’s shift towards discussing rate hikes, the market for a rate...
Attack on bulk carrier near Iran heightens regional tensions
## Market Snapshot In the market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?”, the current YES pricing is 12.5%,...
Justice Department drops investigation into Fed Chair Powell, easing Warsh’s path
## Market Snapshot In the “Jerome Powell Out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026” market, YES is priced at...
Trump considers reducing US troops in Germany, raising NATO concerns
## Market Snapshot In the “US Withdrawal from NATO Timeline” market, the June 30 sub-market is currently priced at 1.7%...
OPEC+ raises oil output quotas amid Strait of Hormuz closure
## Market Snapshot In the “Crude Oil Price Predictions by June” market, current pricing reflects a 100% YES outcome for...
Alphabet gains $420B in market cap, challenges Nvidia for top spot
## Market Snapshot In the market for “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on...
Israel intercepts projectiles from Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon” market, the June 30, 2026, sub-market is priced at 9.5% YES,...
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 2026 remains unlikely amid stalled diplomacy
## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire markets, a ceasefire by April 30, 2026, is considered unlikely, with activity reflecting...
China defies US sanctions, complicates Trump visit and Iran deal talks
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump Visit to China” market, YES pricing is at 94% for May 31 and 97%...
Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions market, the likelihood of a ceasefire by May 31, 2026, is currently...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge amid US-Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” market, current pricing shows uncertainty with no clear YES...
Zelensky warns of military activity on Belarus border amid ceasefire doubts
## Market Snapshot In the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026” market, YES shares are priced at 9.5%,...
US tightens Strait of Hormuz blockade, impacting Iran oil exports
## Market Snapshot In the market regarding Donald Trump announcing the lifting of the US blockade on the Strait of...
