US-Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop after $9B arms deal
## Market Snapshot In the “Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting” market, the arms deal news has decreased the likelihood...
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Hezbollah resurgence complicates Israeli withdrawal, US-Iran ceasefire talks
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market, the YES pricing has decreased to...
Trump declares end to Iran military operations as war powers deadline hits
## Market Snapshot In the Polymarket event “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th”, pricing reflects...
James Comey indicted for threatening Trump in Instagram post
## Market Snapshot In the “James Comey Sentenced to Prison in 2026” market, the current pricing suggests a heightened likelihood...
Powell warns high oil prices may impact US economy amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot In the Strait of Hormuz traffic market, the probability of a return to normal by the end...
Ethereum faces pressure as US-Iran talks impact price outlook
## Market Snapshot In the Ethereum price market for April 30, the scenario where Ethereum falls below $1,900 is priced...
Fed’s Hammack opposes rate cut, aligns with hawkish regional sentiment
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?” market, the implied probability for a rate cut...
Iran conflict drives oil to $115, central banks adopt hawkish stance
## Market Snapshot In the Bitcoin price targets market, the $80,000 level is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from...
Israeli shelling on Labour Day escalates tensions in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?” market, the YES probability is at 0.1%,...
Apple iPhone revenue jumps 22% to $57B amid chip shortages
## Market Snapshot In the “Largest Company by Market Cap Predictions” market, NVIDIA is currently priced at 67.5% YES for...
Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta plan $710B AI investment by 2026
## Market Snapshot In the “Largest Company by End of April” market, NVIDIA is priced at 99.6% YES, consistent over...
Ray Dalio warns US stagflation risk amid Iran conflict impacts inflation
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” market, the probability of no rate cuts occurring is...
