US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid escalating conflict over dollar control
The US-Iran conflict over control of dollar transactions in global energy trade is intensifying. Odds of a ceasefire by April...
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Iran’s yuan oil trade complicates US-Iran ceasefire efforts, market confidence drops
Iran’s insistence on yuan-denominated oil trade through the Strait of Hormuz complicates US-Iran ceasefire efforts. Ceasefire by April 7 sits...
US and Israel ready to strike Iran as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%
The U.S. and Israel are prepared to strike Iranian targets if negotiations collapse. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by...
US and Israel prepare to strike Iran as ceasefire odds plummet to 1.1%
The U.S. and Israel are ready to strike Iranian targets if negotiations fail. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by...
Pope Leo’s appeal raises US-Iran ceasefire odds, April 30 now at 18% YES
Pope Leo’s appeal for dialogue slightly raises US-Iran ceasefire odds. The chance of a ceasefire by April 7 is now...
Trump’s threat drops US-Iran ceasefire odds to 1% for April 7
Trump’s threat of escalation if no Iran deal by Monday drops US-Iran ceasefire odds to 1% YES for April 7,...
Trump’s ultimatum to Iran lowers April ceasefire odds to 1%
Trump’s ultimatum to Iran: open the Strait of Hormuz or face repercussions. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April...
Ceasefire odds for US-Iran talks plummet, April 7 now just 1% YES
US-Iran negotiations continue, with Trump extending a pause on strikes to support talks. However, the odds of a ceasefire by...
US considers seizing strategic islands near Iran, ceasefire odds plummet
The US is considering seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have...
US-Iran clash raises odds for troop deployment to 86% by April 30
A U.S.-Iran clash in southwestern Iran has shaken markets. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 have jumped...
Iran open to bilateral diplomacy as ceasefire odds remain low: FT
Iran’s Parliament speaker expressed willingness for bilateral diplomacy with neighbors. The US-Iran ceasefire odds for April 7 are at 1%...
Trump continues talks despite Iran downing two US jets; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1%
Trump continues negotiations despite Iran shooting down two US jets. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are...
Iran downs two US warplanes, reducing April 7 ceasefire odds to 1%
Iran reportedly downed two US warplanes, sharply reducing the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 to 1% YES,...
US-Iran ceasefire markets show sharp declines amid rising nuclear threat
Iran’s nuclear threat is shaking Middle East stability. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 now sits at 1% YES, down...
Iran’s former foreign minister proposes peace plan with US, market skeptical
A former Iranian foreign minister has proposed a peace plan with the US. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire by...
