Trump announces US-Iran joint uranium excavation plan
Trump’s announcement of a US-Iran joint excavation to retrieve enriched uranium has moved prediction markets. Odds for the US obtaining...
USIran
Trump announces US-Iran uranium extraction partnership at ‘leisurely pace’
Trump announced a U.S.-Iran partnership to extract enriched uranium at a “leisurely pace,” and the market for US obtaining Iranian...
Iran rejects US ceasefire terms, tensions rise amid ongoing hostilities
The likelihood of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 21 sits at 5.5% YES, pressured by active hostilities and Iran’s rejection...
Pakistan seeks to host next US-Iran talks amid ceasefire extension efforts
Pakistan is pushing to host the next round of US-Iran talks, a move that could advance ceasefire extension negotiations. The...
IMF warns of global economic risks from US-Iran conflict amid Hormuz tensions
IMF members are set to warn about the global economic risks posed by the US-Iran conflict later today. The market...
Spain blocks US base access amid Iran tensions, impacting oil markets
Spain’s refusal to allow US access to its military bases during rising US-Iran tensions has shifted crude oil markets. Crude...
Trump’s Iran comments shake Bitcoin markets as traders brace for volatility
Trump’s ambiguous comments on US-Iran talks have rattled Bitcoin markets, with the probability of Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April...
Iran seeks Lebanon’s inclusion in US ceasefire deal, complicating negotiations
Iran wants Lebanon included in any ceasefire agreement with the US. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 22...
S&P 500 hits record 7,050 as US-Iran tensions ease
The S&P 500 reached a record high of 7,050 as signs of de-escalation in the US-Iran conflict emerge. The S&P...
Iran demands framework before new talks, stalling US-Iran meeting prospects
Iran’s insistence on establishing a framework before new talks has weakened prospects for a US-Iran meeting by April 30. The...
S&P 500 and NASDAQ reach record highs amid US-Iran tensions
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at all-time highs while the US-Iran conflict continues. The Polymarket contract for the S&P...
Pakistan mediates US-Iran peace talks as ceasefire deadline looms
Pakistan is attempting to mediate another round of US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, following last weekend’s failed negotiations and days...
US-Iran ceasefire breach market falls as Pentagon signals reduced conflict risk
Larry Johnson’s claims of a hollow blockade and depleted arsenal have driven the US-Iran ceasefire breach market sharply lower. The...
Pakistan reaffirms Lebanon’s role in US-Iran ceasefire amid ongoing conflict
Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry reaffirmed Lebanon’s inclusion in the US-Iran ceasefire, despite ongoing military operations. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...
Trump says US-Iran conflict “very close to over,” no ceasefire announced
Trump claims the U.S.-Iran conflict is “very close to over,” but no formal ceasefire has been announced. The odds for...
