US considers seizing strategic islands near Iran, ceasefire odds plummet
The US is considering seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have...
USIran
US-Iran clash raises odds for troop deployment to 86% by April 30
A U.S.-Iran clash in southwestern Iran has shaken markets. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 have jumped...
Iran open to bilateral diplomacy as ceasefire odds remain low: FT
Iran’s Parliament speaker expressed willingness for bilateral diplomacy with neighbors. The US-Iran ceasefire odds for April 7 are at 1%...
Trump continues talks despite Iran downing two US jets; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1%
Trump continues negotiations despite Iran shooting down two US jets. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are...
Iran downs two US warplanes, reducing April 7 ceasefire odds to 1%
Iran reportedly downed two US warplanes, sharply reducing the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 to 1% YES,...
US-Iran ceasefire markets show sharp declines amid rising nuclear threat
Iran’s nuclear threat is shaking Middle East stability. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 now sits at 1% YES, down...
Iran’s former foreign minister proposes peace plan with US, market skeptical
A former Iranian foreign minister has proposed a peace plan with the US. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire by...
Ceasefire odds between US and Iran plummet amid stalled negotiations
Donald Trump’s negotiation strategy with Iran has stalled. US-Iran ceasefire odds by April 7 have plunged to 1.4% YES, down...
Kamal Kharazi calls for US-Iran deal as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%
Iran’s former diplomat Kamal Kharazi has urged a US-Iran deal to end the conflict. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Kamal Kharazi calls for US-Iran deal as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%
Iran’s former diplomat Kamal Kharazi has urged a US-Iran deal to end the conflict. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Russia and Egypt push for Middle East peace, affecting US-Iran ceasefire odds
Russia and Egypt are pushing for Middle East peace efforts, affecting the US-Iran ceasefire market. Odds for an April 30...
Russia and Egypt push for Middle East peace, affecting US-Iran ceasefire odds
Russia and Egypt are pushing for Middle East peace efforts, affecting the US-Iran ceasefire market. Odds for an April 30...
GCC and UN call for US-Iran ceasefire as market shows skepticism: FT
The Gulf Cooperation Council and the United Nations have called for an immediate ceasefire. The US-Iran ceasefire market for April...
US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid airstrikes and threats: 2% for April 7
US and Israeli airstrikes targeted Iranian sites, and Iran threatened a UAE data center. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 7...
US informs Israel of deadlocked Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds plummet
The U.S. has informed Israel that negotiations with Iran have hit a deadlock. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April...
