Iran submits 14-point proposal to US, aims to reopen Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 32% YES,...
USIran
Trump fast-tracks $8.6B arms deal to Middle East amid Iran tensions: FT
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently priced at uncertain YES. The US-Iran nuclear...
Iran accuses US of NPT non-compliance, heightening diplomatic tensions
## Market Snapshot The market addressing the likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, currently prices at...
Iran expects further US attacks, dismisses ceasefire sincerity
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market shows 0.1% YES, down from 1% a day ago. Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting market...
Trump rejects Iran peace proposal, reinforcing US-Iran diplomatic stalemate
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% in the last 24...
China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES pricing, down from 1% 24 hours ago. Despite...
Iran responds to US deal amendments via Pakistani mediators: Axios
## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran Ceasefire” market currently shows a 0.1% likelihood for a YES outcome, unchanged from the previous...
Iran responds to US amendments amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES probability, down from 1% 24 hours ago and 6%...
UAE distrusts Iran over Hormuz, complicates US-Iran peace efforts
## Market Snapshot Next US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently priced at 40.5% YES, reflecting increased skepticism about a meeting...
Iran accuses US of maritime piracy, impacting ceasefire talks
## Market Snapshot Iran’s foreign ministry statement has impacted the US-Iran ceasefire market, now at 0.5% YES, down from 1%...
Middle East tensions pressure crypto markets, Bitcoin $94K odds falter
Failed U.S.-Iran peace talks and ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions are pressuring crypto prediction markets. Bitcoin’s odds of reaching $94,000...
Hormuz shipping traffic trickles as US-Iran tensions escalate
Hormuz shipping traffic continues at a trickle as US-Iran tensions deepen, with the likelihood of traffic returning to normal by...
Iran hardliners stall US peace talks, diplomatic progress falters
Iran’s hardliners are blocking pragmatic diplomatic positions in US-Iran talks. The likelihood of a peace deal by April 30 now...
Tech stocks hit bear territory as US-Iran tensions rise, Nvidia remains strong
Six of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks have fallen into bear territory as U.S.-Iran tensions escalate, but the odds of...
Trump ends Pakistan talks, US-Iran ceasefire collapse seen as inevitable
Trump called off talks in Pakistan, dismissing them as futile. The market on the US-Iran ceasefire ending by April 21,...
