US-Iran talks collapse over uranium, ceasefire deal by April 30 unlikely
U.S.-Iran negotiations broke down over uranium stockpile dismantlement, and the market for a U.S.-Iran ceasefire by April 30 dropped from...
USIran
Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire, but formal peace deal remains unlikely
President Trump has extended the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, but odds of a formal cessation of hostilities by April 30 have dropped...
Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifts focus to diplomacy
Trump’s indefinite extension of the US-Iran ceasefire has moved prediction markets sharply. The odds for a formal ceasefire by April...
US-Iran compromise deal seen as inevitable despite market skepticism
A former RAF Air Command deputy commander has said a US-Iran compromise deal now seems inevitable, with Iran potentially gaining...
CIA operatives killed in Mexico amid Iran ceasefire doubts
Two CIA operatives died during a covert operation in Mexican cartel territory. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 30 market sits...
Oil prices dip amid potential US-Iran ceasefire extension
Oil prices dipped as a potential extension of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire muddied market outlooks. The ceasefire-by-April-30 market sits at 16.5%...
Strait of Hormuz blockade escalates US-Iran tensions, disrupts energy supply
The Strait of Hormuz blockade and an intensifying US-Iran standoff are pushing ceasefire odds lower. Ceasefire by April 30 is...
Pakistan’s diplomatic push impacts US-Iran ceasefire odds as deadline nears
Pakistan’s diplomatic push to salvage US-Iran talks has driven down ceasefire odds. The market for Trump announcing the end of...
US Treasury yields rise as US-Iran tensions escalate
US Treasury yields are climbing, with the two-year yield up 8.4 basis points to 3.80%, as the US-Iran conflict escalates....
US Treasury yields rise as US-Iran tensions escalate
US Treasury yields are climbing, with the two-year yield up 8.4 basis points to 3.80%, as the US-Iran conflict escalates....
JD Vance’s Pakistan trip for US-Iran peace talks postponed amid tensions
JD Vance’s planned visit to Pakistan for US-Iran peace talks has been postponed. The US x Iran permanent peace deal...
IAEA warns US-Iran nuclear deal illusory without involvement: Grossi
IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi warned that any US-Iran nuclear deal without IAEA involvement is an “illusion,” pushing the Iran uranium...
Trump hints at US-Iran talks, seeks release of detained women
Trump hinted at imminent US-Iran talks while requesting the release of detained women. The Polymarket contract for no qualifying diplomatic...
US-Iran nuclear talks stalled, uranium enrichment end by April 30 uncertain
US-Iran nuclear talks are stalled, with Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 priced at 33.6% YES, up...
Trump unlikely to extend Iran ceasefire as deadline looms
Trump’s statement on the ceasefire extension has pushed the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire ending by April 21 down to...
