Iranian diplomats absent from US-Iran talks in Pakistan, peace deal doubts grow
Iranian state media reports no delegation has left for US-Iran talks in Pakistan. The market for Trump announcing the ceasefire’s...
USIran
White House signals progress in US-Iran talks amid heightened tensions
The White House has signaled progress in US-Iran negotiations, suggesting a “good deal” is near. On Polymarket, the odds of...
White House signals progress in US-Iran talks amid heightened tensions
The White House has signaled progress in US-Iran negotiations, suggesting a “good deal” is near. On Polymarket, the odds of...
Trump sees ceasefire extension unlikely without deal, market skeptical
Trump declared a ceasefire extension “highly unlikely” without a deal. The probability of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April...
Trump sees ceasefire extension unlikely without deal, market skeptical
Trump declared a ceasefire extension “highly unlikely” without a deal. The probability of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April...
Iran absent from Pakistan peace talks, dims April 22 US-Iran deal prospects
Iran’s absence from the latest peace talks in Pakistan has pushed the US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22...
Pakistan mediates US-Iran ceasefire talks amid market volatility
Pakistan is acting as intermediary in US-Iran ceasefire negotiations hosted in Islamabad. The ceasefire extension market for April 21 sits...
Bitcoin Holds $75K as US-Iran Maritime Clashes Spark Geopolitical Whiplash
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin held at $75,400 on April 20 as U.S.-Iran maritime clashes cooled hopes for a lasting ceasefire. Volatile...
Vance stays in US, delaying potential US-Iran talks amid G20 focus on trade impact
Vice President JD Vance remains stateside, delaying potential US-Iran negotiations. The market for a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026,...
Oil prices surge 6% as Strait of Hormuz closure disrupts supply
Oil prices surged over 6% as the Strait of Hormuz closed amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions. WTI crude oil hitting $160...
Inflation and strong dollar drag gold prices lower amid US-Iran tensions
Inflation concerns and a stronger dollar are pulling gold prices down, even as US-Iran tensions rise. The chances of gold...
Iran labels ship attack as aggression amid rising diplomatic tensions
Iran’s Foreign Ministry has labeled an attack on a commercial ship as aggression. The market for no US-Iran diplomatic meeting...
Oil prices drop on US-Iran peace hopes, easing crude spike fears
Oil prices fell on hopes for US-Iran de-escalation, pushing the Polymarket contract for WTI Crude hitting $160 in April down...
US-Iran diplomatic gaps narrow, Bitcoin steady amid dollar concerns
Al Hadath reports narrowing gaps between the US and Iran. The probability of no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June...
Iran re-closes Strait of Hormuz as US-Iran ceasefire expires without deal
The U.S.-Iran ceasefire, agreed on April 8, 2026, expires April 22 with no extension deal in sight. Iran has re-closed...
