Bitcoin surpasses $72K amid US-Israeli airstrikes, Iran tensions escalate
Bitcoin rose 10% to over $72,000 after US-Israeli airstrikes and Iranian retaliation escalated geopolitical tensions. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin...
Iranian
Iran drone attack on Bahraini facility extinguished with no casualties
Iran’s drone attack on a Bahraini facility was extinguished with no casualties. The Iranian regime fall by June 30 market...
Iranian missiles target Israel post-ceasefire, US military action odds surge
Iranian missiles reportedly targeted central Israel shortly after a ceasefire announcement. The ceasefire by April 7 market is at 57%...
Oil prices surge past $112 as Iran regime change odds fluctuate
Trump indicated potential escalation against Iran starting April 7. Odds for the Iranian regime to fall by June 30 are...
US-Iran deal talks lower oil prices, impact prediction markets
News of the US and Iran nearing a deal has caused oil prices to fall. The odds of the Iranian...
Iranian hackers escalate attacks on US infrastructure amid rising military odds
Iranian hackers have intensified attacks on US critical infrastructure, according to the US government. This escalation occurs as military conflicts...
Iranian missile incident raises doubts about regime fall odds, now at 13.5%: FT
An Iranian missile broke apart midair over Haifa, overcoming Israeli defenses and resulting in four civilian deaths. The “Iranian regime...
Iran missile strike in Haifa raises regime stability odds to 13.5% by June 30
An Iranian missile strike in Haifa resulted in an interception failure, killing four civilians. The odds for the Iranian regime...
Iran’s regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as superpower tensions escalate: FT
Iran is now a focal point for superpower tensions, similar to Ukraine and Taiwan. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Ceasefire odds plummet to 1% as Iran vows retaliation against Israel
Iran has warned of retaliation following Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure, while Iran targets Gulf sites. Ceasefire odds for April...
Ceasefire odds plummet as Iran war escalates, April 7 market at 1% YES
Explosions in Kuwait and Iranian missile strikes on Haifa continue in the 2026 Iran war. Ceasefire by April 7 is...
Iran mediators propose 45-day ceasefire amid low US-Iran resolution odds: FT
Iranian mediators propose a 45-day ceasefire as US-Iran tensions persist. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 are at 1.1%...
Iran mediators seek 45-day ceasefire as April 7 odds drop to 1.1%
Iranian mediators are advocating for a 45-day ceasefire in the US-Iran conflict. The odds of a ceasefire by April 7...
Iran’s regime fall odds rise to 13.5% after rejecting Trump’s offer: sources
The Iranian regime faces potential escalation after rejecting Trump’s offer, with the odds of the regime falling by June 30...
US and Israel ready to strike Iran as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%
The U.S. and Israel are prepared to strike Iranian targets if negotiations collapse. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by...
