Iran accuses US of ceasefire violation with naval blockade
Iranian President Pezeshkian told Pakistan’s Prime Minister that the US naval blockade is a ceasefire violation. The likelihood of Trump...
Iranian
Iran claims control of Hormuz as US forces retreat, negotiations stalled
Iranian officials claim US forces retreated from the Strait of Hormuz, asserting control and hindering negotiations. The market for Trump...
Israeli strike on Iranian hospital confirmed by CCTV footage
The Iranian Red Crescent released CCTV footage showing an Israeli strike on a hospital in Iran, part of the ongoing...
Iranian officials in Pakistan for US talks, possible ceasefire extension
Iranian officials arrived in Pakistan for US talks, suggesting a possible ceasefire extension. The market for a ceasefire extension by...
Iran halts oil flow through Strait of Hormuz, disrupting 20% of global supply
At least 13 oil tankers turned back from the Strait of Hormuz after Iranian warnings, interrupting approximately 20% of global...
Iran insists on nuclear rights, complicating US negotiations
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s assertion of Iran’s nuclear rights has complicated US negotiations. The probability of Iran agreeing to end...
Iranian President asserts nuclear rights, impacting April enrichment deal odds
The Iranian President told ISNA that Iran will not give up its nuclear rights, and the market for Iran agreeing...
Iran’s Supreme Leader faces internal divisions amid regime stability concerns
Mojtaba Khamenei faces internal divisions as Iran’s Supreme Leader, but the market for the Iranian regime falling by May 31...
Iran rejects US demand to transfer enriched nuclear material
An Iranian deputy foreign minister dismissed any possibility of transferring enriched nuclear material to the US, calling American demands excessive....
Trump’s nuclear comment impacts US-Iran peace deal market, odds drop sharply
Trump’s comment on retrieving Iranian “nuclear dust” after any deal has driven the April 22 permanent peace deal market down...
Trump, Iran report progress in talks amid Strait of Hormuz uncertainty
Trump and Iranian officials have acknowledged progress in negotiations, but uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz persists. The market for...
US deploys 12 warships to enforce blockade of Iranian ports
The US has stationed over 12 warships, including destroyers and an aircraft carrier, to enforce a blockade of Iranian ports....
Strait of Hormuz cleared after Iranian attacks on commercial ships
The Strait of Hormuz has been cleared following Iranian attacks on commercial ships. The market for fewer than 10 ships...
Iran rejects new US talks amid “maximalist” demands, raising escalation risk
Iranian Deputy FM Saeed Khatibzadeh says Tehran won’t engage in new talks with the US due to Washington’s “maximalist” demands....
Iran marks 100 days since crackdown with regime stability unchanged
Iran has reached 100 days since its January crackdown on protests. The market on whether the Iranian regime will fall...
