Iran rejects US demands, stalling uranium enrichment deal talks
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Saeed Khatibzadeh confirmed Tehran’s refusal to meet US demands, halting hopes for a uranium enrichment agreement....
Iranian
US Navy destroyers transit Strait of Hormuz amid Iranian threats
Two U.S. Navy destroyers transited the Strait of Hormuz on April 11 despite Iranian threats, but the Polymarket contract on...
Trump maintains Iranian port blockade despite strait reopening
Trump’s blockade of Iranian ports continues despite the strait’s reopening, and the market for a US blockade lift by May...
Iran arrests 127 in crackdown amid regime change speculation
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards arrested 127 individuals in three provinces on security-related accusations. The Iranian regime’s fall by May 31 trades...
US destroyers intercept Iranian tankers in Strait of Hormuz
Washington Post reports U.S. destroyers have forced three Iranian tankers to turn back and are pursuing two others. Strait of...
Trump pledges US aid to Lebanon, opposes Iran tolls on Strait of Hormuz
Trump promised US aid to stabilize Lebanon and opposed Iranian tolls on the Strait of Hormuz. The Iran operations announcement...
Iran denies uranium transfer to US, impacting market probabilities
Iran’s denial of transferring enriched uranium to the US has pushed the odds for the US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium...
Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran negotiation progress
Iran has reopened the Strait of Hormuz, and the market for Trump agreeing to Iranian demands in April is at...
Iranian lawmakers warn against US talks without asset unfreezing
More than 40 Iranian lawmakers called continuing US negotiations without unfreezing Iranian assets a “mistake.” The chances of Trump agreeing...
Iranian advisor threatens US warships, impacting uranium market dynamics
Iranian military advisor Mohsen Rezaei’s remarks threatening to sink US warships have pushed odds lower on the uranium transfer market....
US-Iran focus shifts to temporary agreement, easing ceasefire end concerns
US and Iranian negotiators are now focusing on a temporary agreement rather than a comprehensive peace deal. The odds of...
US Navy blockade halts Iran oil exports, impacts China supply chain
The U.S. Navy’s blockade on Iranian ports has stopped Iran’s oil exports for over 48 hours, cutting off a major...
Iranian oil tankers bypass US blockade, move 11M barrels through Sea of Oman
Iranian oil tankers have moved 11 million barrels through the Sea of Oman despite a U.S. naval blockade. The Strait...
CENTCOM loophole allows non-oil ships through US blockade at Strait of Hormuz
CENTCOM’s legal definitions have left a loophole in the U.S. blockade on Iranian ports, allowing non-oil cargo ships to transit...
Iranian launchers ready to sink US warships, advisor warns
An advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader claimed that Iranian launchers are prepared to sink all US warships, pushing down the...
