Pentagon pushes AI-first strategy, boosting Anthropic Mythos prospects
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government: Currently priced at 100% YES for April 30, 2026. The market...
Prediction Markets
Bitcoin forecasted to drop to $59,000 amid geopolitical tensions: Kalshi
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Predictions for April 30 are currently priced at 0.1% YES for reaching $79,000, reflecting a...
Russian attack on Kherson bus kills two, complicates ceasefire prospects
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions for May 31, 2026, are currently priced with a 6.6% chance of a YES...
Trump rejects Iran peace proposal, reinforcing US-Iran diplomatic stalemate
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% in the last 24...
Iran declares Hormuz non-negotiable amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is priced at 40.5% YES, down from 44% 24 hours ago. The...
Trump announces US troop withdrawal from Germany amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is currently indicating 0% YES. The “US Declaration of War on...
US bypasses Congress for $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran diplomatic meetings are currently priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago, but down from...
China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES pricing, down from 1% 24 hours ago. Despite...
UAE exits OPEC amid Middle East tensions, oil prices expected to rise
## Market Snapshot The crude oil price predictions market for June shows a firm 100% YES pricing, indicating expectations that...
Anthropic’s AI actions may impact Google’s top model odds by May
## Market Snapshot Best AI Model by May market reflects uncertainty, with Google’s odds under pressure. Anthropic Mythos Provision to...
Taiwan lawmaker proposes Bitcoin reserve amid China tensions
## Market Snapshot Markets related to a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan by June 30, 2026, show a slight decrease...
Google, Meta, Microsoft boost AI spending amid US-China competition
## Market Snapshot Meta Platforms’ current pricing for hitting $740 the week of April 27, 2026, stands at 0.1% YES,...
Trump demands Jimmy Kimmel’s firing after controversial joke at White House dinner
## Market Snapshot In the market concerning whether Jimmy Kimmel will be fired or resign by May 31, the current...
Ukraine repels massive drone swarm amid Russian strikes on critical infrastructure
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions are currently priced at 0.1% YES for April 30 and 6.8% YES for May...
USS Gerald R. Ford departs Middle East, signals partial US military de-escalation
## Market Snapshot Market: Military Actions Against Iran Current Pricing: 0.1% YES Trend: The market has remained flat at 0.1%...
