Iran ramps up diplomatic outreach amid US meeting prospects
## Market Snapshot The “next US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market currently shows an increase in the likelihood of a...
Prediction Markets
Fed holds rates steady amid inflation concerns, Powell highlights Middle East risks
## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cut Timing market is currently pricing a 4.5% YES for a rate cut by June...
Ethereum faces pressure as US-Iran talks impact price outlook
## Market Snapshot In the Ethereum price market for April 30, the scenario where Ethereum falls below $1,900 is priced...
Alphabet shares hit all-time high on strong earnings boost
## Market Snapshot Alphabet’s stock price has reached a new all-time high following the release of strong earnings, indicating confidence...
Bitcoin closes above 21-week trend line amid geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s recent close above its 21-week moving average is drawing attention in prediction markets. The market for...
Muted shipping through Strait of Hormuz amid stalled US-Iran talks
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz...
Manufacturing ISM report shows price surge, employment drop amid Fed rate cut talk
## Market Snapshot The “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” market currently lacks definitive pricing data. “Will the...
Russia proposes ceasefire as symbolic gesture, Ukraine skeptical
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 11.5% YES, up from 10%...
Kashkari warns oil shock could lead to Fed rate hikes amid Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot The “Fed Decision June and July” market is currently pricing a 2.9% likelihood of a 25 bps...
US military operations in Iran hit 60-day mark, raising escalation concerns
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the US invade Iran before 2027?” currently shows significant interest with no recent...
Fed’s Hammack opposes rate cut, aligns with hawkish regional sentiment
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?” market, the implied probability for a rate cut...
Israeli airstrikes on Iran threaten oil supply, prices may hit $150
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently focused on whether prices will hit $150, with...
Iran conflict drives oil to $115, central banks adopt hawkish stance
## Market Snapshot In the Bitcoin price targets market, the $80,000 level is currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from...
Iran sends peace proposal to US, WTI crude futures fall
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently showing a lower probability for a YES...
Iran responds to US deal amendments via Pakistani mediators: Axios
## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran Ceasefire” market currently shows a 0.1% likelihood for a YES outcome, unchanged from the previous...
