Iran’s supreme leader rejects concessions as US weighs military options
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market shows pricing supportive of NO, with recent developments suggesting decreased...
Prediction Markets
Iran responds to US amendments amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES probability, down from 1% 24 hours ago and 6%...
James Comey indicted for threats against Trump, arrest seen as imminent
## Market Snapshot The “James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026” market is currently observing a significant increase in YES...
Solana leads in quantum security with NIST-approved signatures, ahead of Ethereum
## Market Snapshot Ethereum Future Price Predictions market currently shows a 3.8% likelihood of Ethereum reaching $10,000 by the end...
UAE distrusts Iran over Hormuz, complicates US-Iran peace efforts
## Market Snapshot Next US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently priced at 40.5% YES, reflecting increased skepticism about a meeting...
Iran accuses US of strikes during talks, military tensions rise
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market currently appears to have decreased YES pricing due to recent...
US-Iran conflict fuels WTI crude oil price hike expectations for May 2026
## Market Snapshot The market for WTI Crude Oil prices in May 2026 currently shows expectations for price increases, driven...
Trump considers pulling US troops from Italy, Spain amid NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Withdrawal from NATO Timeline” market currently prices a 1.4% likelihood of the U.S. withdrawing by...
Indian Oil raises LPG, jet fuel prices amid West Asia conflict
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?” shows prices at...
US considers executive action to reintegrate Anthropic AI by April 2026
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government market is currently priced at 100% YES for April 30, 2026....
Iran-US standoff disrupts Strait of Hormuz shipping, energy prices may hit $150
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic: Priced at 0% YES for April 30 normalization, indicating no return to normal...
Microsoft boosts 2026 capital spending to $190B amid AI demand
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for whether Microsoft will become the largest company by market cap on December 31,...
Trump briefed on military options as Iran conflict escalates
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market is currently observing increased activity, with pricing supportive of a YES...
White House pushes for AI cyber defense amid Anthropic market surge
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government markets are currently priced at 100% YES across all sub-markets, reflecting...
Trump briefed on Iran military options, impacting Bitcoin, oil markets
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price for May 2 is priced at 99.8% YES for being above $68,000. WTI Crude Oil...
