Bitcoin breaks four-year May decline pattern, hits $77,000 amid tensions
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s price is currently $77,000, with market pricing at 99.9% YES for it staying above $68,000 on...
Prediction Markets
UK opposes US blockade, backs reopening of Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market currently prices a 40.5% YES probability of blockade lift by May 31,...
Pentagon pauses War Powers clock amid Iran ceasefire, de-escalation efforts
## Market Snapshot The market for a U.S. declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026, is currently priced...
Comey prosecution faces First Amendment hurdles, experts say
## Market Snapshot James Comey Sentenced to Prison in 2026 market is currently pricing at decreased odds for a YES...
US defense secretary endorses Bitcoin, integrating it into defense strategies
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Future Price Predictions: 4.7% YES for $200,000 by December 31, 2026, unchanged from 24h ago. Bitcoin...
CLARITY Act expected to reach President’s desk this summer, says Tim Scott
## Market Snapshot The XRP price market for April 30 is currently priced at 100% YES for XRP being within...
US gas prices hit $4.3 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions, Trump comments on war end
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic market is currently focused on whether traffic will return to normal by end...
Trump admin views Iran ceasefire as War Powers reset, avoiding Congress approval
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently priced at 7.6% YES, with a notable rise from 1% in the past...
US stocks rise as S&P 500, NASDAQ see biggest monthly gains in years
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market shows heightened interest with indicators supportive of increases in...
Bitcoin volatility spikes post-FOMC as market doubts $79K target
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price predictions for April 30 show 0.5% YES for reaching $79,000, consistent across sub-markets. Meanwhile, the...
US House passes DHS funding bill, ending 75-day partial shutdown
## Market Snapshot The “DHS Shutdown End Dates” market is currently pricing a strong indication for a YES outcome, as...
Huawei AI chip sales surge as Nvidia loses ground in China: FT
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on...
Senate Democrats Urge CFTC to Ban Sports and Election Contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket
Key Takeaways: Sen. Jeff Merkley led Democrats asking the CFTC to ban event contracts in 5 categories, including sports. Merkley...
Strait of Hormuz closure disrupts energy, pharma supplies amid US-Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic market is priced at 0% YES for a return to normal levels by...
Israel deploys advanced defense systems to UAE amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “Iran Military Action” market is priced at 100% YES for military action by Iran against Israel...
