Iran refuses to surrender enriched uranium by April 2026 deadline
Iran’s refusal to compromise at the negotiating table has dropped the probability of it surrendering its enriched uranium stockpile by...
Prediction Markets
Nvidia market cap surpasses India’s entire stock market
Nvidia’s market cap now exceeds the total value of India’s stock market, and the Polymarket contract asking “Will NVIDIA be...
Bitmine buys 65,000 ETH worth $147M in 24 hours, signals institutional interest
Tom Lee’s Bitmine accumulated 65,000 ETH, valued at $147 million, over the last 24 hours. The probability of ETH being...
Iran tensions push oil prices above $120, potential for further increases
Geopolitical tensions around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz have pushed oil prices past $120 per barrel, with the WTI...
Middle East tensions pressure crypto markets, Bitcoin $94K odds falter
Failed U.S.-Iran peace talks and ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions are pressuring crypto prediction markets. Bitcoin’s odds of reaching $94,000...
Samsung profit surges eight-fold on AI demand, beating estimates
Samsung’s profit surged over eight-fold on AI-driven demand, beating estimates. The Polymarket contract on NVIDIA being the largest company by...
Samsung Q1 profit beats expectations, starts HBM4 production for Nvidia
Samsung Electronics reported Q1 net profit of 47.1T won, beating expectations on the strength of its chip division and the...
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, tensions rise with US strategy mockery
Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz and public derision of U.S. strategy have pushed odds sharply lower on a...
US plans Middle East deployment of Dark Eagle hypersonic missiles against Iran
The U.S. is looking to position its Dark Eagle hypersonic missile system in the Middle East, per Bloomberg. This increases...
Iran threatens to close Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
Iran’s naval commander has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz and take “swift action” against US forces. The odds...
Hormuz shipping traffic trickles as US-Iran tensions escalate
Hormuz shipping traffic continues at a trickle as US-Iran tensions deepen, with the likelihood of traffic returning to normal by...
Senate Banking Committee advances Warsh for Fed Chair, Powell’s exit likely
The Senate Banking Committee voted along party lines to advance Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Fed Chair, moving him closer to...
RWA private credit on blockchain surges to $4.5B, Ethereum price outlook steady
RWA private credit on blockchain platforms has grown from under $500 million to over $4.5 billion in a year, a...
US war in Iran costs $25B, impacting Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
Pentagon reports the US war in Iran has cost $25 billion so far, while the Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for...
Trump urges Netanyahu to limit Lebanon strikes as ceasefire falters
Trump advised Netanyahu to keep Lebanon strikes “surgical” as the ceasefire falters. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30 market sits...
