US-Iran talks stall, Hormuz blockade resolution unlikely by May 31
Talks between the US and Iran have stalled, pushing the Polymarket odds for the US lifting the Strait of Hormuz...
Prediction Markets
Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
Trump met with national security aides to discuss a new Iran proposal. The odds of a U.S. invasion of Iran...
UN maritime agency rejects Iran’s toll plan for Strait of Hormuz shipping
The UN maritime agency has dismissed Iran’s plan to impose tolls on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, citing...
Coinbase supports MegaETH deposits ahead of April 30 token event
Coinbase now supports deposits for MegaETH (MEGA) before the project’s token generation event (TGE) on April 30. The Polymarket contract...
Kevin Warsh clears Senate committee, markets react to potential Fed leadership change
Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, cleared the Senate Banking Committee with a 13-11 vote. Jerome Powell...
Turkey eyes demining role in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran-US peace talks
Turkey is eyeing participation in demining the Strait of Hormuz following a potential Iran-US peace agreement. The market on Trump...
Bitcoin ETFs see $823M inflows led by BlackRock’s IBIT amid US-Iran tensions
Bitcoin ETFs recorded $823 million in net inflows, led by BlackRock’s IBIT, reversing prior outflows tied to US-Iran tensions. Bitcoin...
IDF destroys Hezbollah rocket launcher in civilian building, escalating conflict
The IDF destroyed a Hezbollah rocket launcher inside a civilian building in southern Lebanon, a development relevant to the Israel-Hezbollah...
Kevin Warsh to become FOMC Chair as Powell stays on as Fed Governor
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated he will continue as a Fed Governor after May 15, with Kevin Warsh taking over...
Trump hints at further action against Iran after military strikes
Trump asserts major blows to Iran’s military capabilities, hinting at further action without a deal. The US invasion of Iran...
Iran security council unifies on war decisions, reinforcing regime stability
Iran’s security council has unified on war decisions, according to a government minister. The odds for an Iranian leadership change...
Fed signals elevated inflation, no rate cuts expected in 2026 amid energy price rise
The Fed now describes inflation as “elevated” due to rising energy prices, and the likelihood of a 25 bps rate...
Solana RWA ecosystem hits $2.5B ATH with nearly 200,000 holders
Solana’s real-world asset ecosystem reached a $2.5 billion all-time high with nearly 200,000 holders, as SOL rose 3.6% to around...
US-Iran conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, crude oil prices soar 30%
RBOB gasoline futures surged 5%, and the Polymarket contract for WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April sits at 15%...
Israeli strikes kill 2,534 in Lebanon amid military escalation
Israeli strikes have killed 2,534 people in Lebanon since March 2, according to Middle East Eye. The market for Israel...
