Trump declares military victory over Iran, reducing strike likelihood
Trump’s proclamation of military victory over Iran at the State Dinner with King Charles has pushed military action odds to...
Prediction Markets
US blockade halts Iranian sea trade, Strait of Hormuz traffic stalls
The U.S. blockade of Iranian ports has effectively shut down normal transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The market for...
Hesder Yeshiva students mobilize for defense amid Hezbollah tensions
Hesder Yeshiva students have mobilized for defense in Kiryat Shmona, reinforcing local forces amid ongoing tensions with Hezbollah. The Israel...
Russian strikes kill 21 in Ukraine on Chernobyl anniversary
Russian strikes killed at least 21 people in Ukraine over the weekend, coinciding with the Chernobyl disaster anniversary. Ceasefire by...
GCC summit in Saudi Arabia focuses on Iranian missile threat
GCC leaders are meeting in Saudi Arabia to address Iranian missile and drone attacks, but the Polymarket contract for military...
$292M liquidated in crypto market amid US-Iran tensions
The cryptocurrency market saw over $292 million liquidated in a single day. Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April now sits at...
Pentagon may downplay US missile shortage severity, impacting Iran conflict bets
A new report suggests the US is downplaying missile stockpile shortages following Operation Epic Fury. The US invasion of Iran...
Lebanon PM condemns Israel for ‘war crimes’ after attack kills 3 rescue workers
Lebanon’s Prime Minister labeled Israeli attacks as “war crimes” after three rescue workers were killed. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June...
Bitcoin hits $77,000 as Fed decision looms, Trump eyes Hormuz blockade
Bitcoin reached $77,000 as the Fed’s decision approaches and Trump prepares for a lengthy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz....
James Comey indicted again over Instagram post allegedly threatening Trump
James Comey, former FBI Director, has been indicted again over an Instagram post that allegedly threatened Donald Trump, and the...
US silence on Iran school strike raises strategic questions
Former U.S. officials have called the extended silence over a U.S. strike on an Iranian school highly unusual. The market...
White House envoy to meet Iranian officials in Islamabad amid tensions
White House envoy Steve Witkoff is set to meet Iranian officials in Islamabad on Saturday, with the Polymarket contract on...
Bitcoin’s April price drop linked to leverage liquidations: CryptoQuant
CryptoQuant attributes Bitcoin’s late-April price drop to leverage liquidations. The market predicting Bitcoin will reach $80,000 in April sits at...
Iran skips US talks, opts for Pakistan mediation amid ceasefire uncertainty
Iran has opted to skip direct talks with the US in Islamabad, choosing instead to convey its position through Pakistan....
Ukrainian drone attack ignites Tuapse oil refinery, escalating energy strikes
A Ukrainian drone attack has again set ablaze the Tuapse oil refinery, continuing Kyiv’s campaign against Russian energy infrastructure. The...
