UAE exits OPEC, crude oil prices expected to rise amid supply concerns
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market is priced at 100% YES for hitting $90. WTI Crude...
Prediction Markets
Jerome Powell to remain on Fed board, Warsh expected as next chair
## Market Snapshot Jerome Powell’s status as Fed Chair is currently priced at 1.3% YES for an exit by May...
Warsh nomination as Fed Chair may lead to leadership change by May 31
## Market Snapshot Kevin Warsh’s potential confirmation as Fed Chair by May 1 is priced at 0.1% YES, with May...
Solana sees $40M net inflows in April 2026 amid geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot Solana Price in April market is currently focused on the question of whether Solana will reach $150...
Iran rejects US demands, Supreme Leader approves talks amid internal unity
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently reflecting decreased confidence in a near-term meeting following...
FCC review of ABC licenses intensifies pressure on Jimmy Kimmel
## Market Snapshot Jimmy Kimmel Fired/Resigns market currently shows a 6.5% probability of a YES outcome by May 31, up...
Israeli shelling on Labour Day escalates tensions in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?” market, the YES probability is at 0.1%,...
SEC Chair Atkins announces pro-crypto policy shift at Bitcoin 2026
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Above on April 30: Currently priced at 100% YES, maintaining stability over the past week. Bitcoin...
White House considers seeking war authorization for Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot US Declaration of War on Iran market shows a YES pricing of 8.5%, up from 8% in...
Iran extends Strait of Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran peace deal uncertainty
## Market Snapshot US-Iran permanent peace deal market shows a current 18.5% YES pricing for a deal by May 31,...
US inflation jumps in March amid Iran war, Trump tariffs impact
## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 prices suggest a low likelihood of rate cuts, with no current...
UN warns Hormuz crisis disrupting global markets amid US-Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The market concerning Donald Trump announcing the lifting of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz...
Bitcoin hits $77,000 amid US-Israel-Iran tensions, oil prices surge
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price predictions for April 30 are currently priced at 0.1% YES, indicating little change in expectations....
Bitcoin ETFs see $14.7M inflow as Ethereum outflows continue
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin ETF markets are currently priced at 0.1% YES for reaching $80,000 in April, reflecting a decline...
Israel orders evacuation of Lebanese towns ahead of planned military strikes
## Market Snapshot The “Israel Withdraws from Lebanon” market currently prices at 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, 3% YES...
