Iran conflict spikes fuel prices, halts Strait of Hormuz shipping
## Market Snapshot The “Military Actions Against Iran” market, focusing on potential UK strikes, remains at 0.1% YES, unchanged from...
Prediction Markets
US senators reach stablecoin yield deal ahead of CLARITY Act markup
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Future Price Predictions are currently priced at 4.5% YES for reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026....
Iran blockade costs $5B in oil revenue as US pressure mounts
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently priced at 0.1% YES, down from 1% 24 hours ago. The market suggests...
Iran executes protest figures amid rising unrest and internet crackdown
## Market Snapshot Market: Iranian Regime Fall Current Pricing: 0.1% YES for April 30, 6.5% YES for June 30 Trend:...
Trump declares end of Iran conflict, uranium deal remains uncertain
## Market Snapshot US obtains Iranian enriched uranium market is priced at 8.5% YES for May 31, down from 10%...
US blockade costs Iran $4.8B in oil revenue, Pentagon reports
## Market Snapshot The “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market is currently priced at 40.5% YES, down from 44% 24 hours...
UAE exits OPEC amid Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil prices
## Market Snapshot The market for crude oil price predictions by June indicates a 100% likelihood of hitting $90. Recent...
Trump confirms end of Iran military operations with April 7 ceasefire
## Market Snapshot The market “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th” is currently priced at...
Ethereum Foundation sells $22.9M ETH, market confidence wanes
## Market Snapshot Ethereum’s market pricing reflects a 3.8% YES probability for reaching $10,000 by December 31, 2026, with a...
Venezuela crude exports rise, surpass 1M barrels a day in April
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market currently shows a 100% YES pricing for oil hitting $90...
Trump asserts Iran operations don’t need congressional approval amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently reflects heightened probabilities of military action, influenced by recent statements...
IRGC asserts Supreme Leader to set new Persian Gulf rules amid power shift
## Market Snapshot Iran Leadership Change market shows a 35.5% YES probability by December 31, down from 40% 24 hours...
WTI crude futures drop $3.1 amid easing US-Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is priced at ?% YES for hitting $150. Crude...
Trump ends Iran hostilities, hints at possible future military action
## Market Snapshot The “Trump out as President by April 30?” market is priced at 0.1% YES, showing stability after...
Powell warns high oil prices may impact US economy amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot In the Strait of Hormuz traffic market, the probability of a return to normal by the end...
