Iran oil storage nears capacity as US blockade cuts exports
Iran has 12-22 days of oil storage capacity left as a US naval blockade continues, and the Polymarket contract for...
Prediction Markets
Attempted attack on Trump at White House Correspondents’ Dinner
An attempted attack on Donald Trump during the White House Correspondents’ Dinner has occurred as the market for Trump publicly...
Bitcoin price falls amid weekend leverage liquidations, thin order books
Bitcoin’s price fell over the weekend after leverage liquidations hit thin order books. The market for Bitcoin dipping to $60,000...
B3 to Launch Bitcoin-Linked Prediction Contracts as Brazil Bans Polymarket and Kalshi
Key Takeaways: B3 launches six Event Contracts on April 27, with bitcoin among three underlying assets. CMN Resolution 5,298 bans...
Trump considers Iran peace proposal, impacting crude oil market
Trump is considering an Iran peace proposal, and the Polymarket crude oil all-time high contract has dropped sharply. The likelihood...
Google signs classified AI deal with Pentagon, impacting Anthropic ranking
Google has signed a classified AI deal with the Pentagon, according to The Information. The market for Anthropic having the...
Iran peace talks stall, oil prices rise amid ongoing tensions
Diplomatic efforts to end the Iran war have stalled while oil prices gain on persistent tensions. The Crude Oil All-Time...
Hezbollah drone attack on Israeli helicopter prompts IAF investigation
The Israeli Air Force has opened an investigation into a Hezbollah drone attack on an IAF helicopter during a mission...
Bybit sees $593M in short liquidations as Bitcoin swings between $74K-$78K
Bybit reported $593M in short liquidations as Bitcoin moved between $74,000 and $78,000. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin reaching $200,000...
Trump skeptical of Iran peace proposal, traders doubt April 30 deal
Trump’s skepticism of Iran’s latest peace proposal has traders doubtful a deal will materialize soon. The odds of a permanent...
Halutzei HaBashan activists cross into Syria, Lebanon, straining Israel ties
Halutzei HaBashan activists crossed into Syria and Lebanon, complicating diplomatic prospects. The Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30 market sits...
Iran hardliners stall US peace talks, diplomatic progress falters
Iran’s hardliners are blocking pragmatic diplomatic positions in US-Iran talks. The likelihood of a peace deal by April 30 now...
US warns businesses on Iranian airlines, sanctions possible
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned businesses working with Iranian airlines of potential US sanctions. The US-Iran diplomatic meeting market, which...
White House rejects press negotiations with Iran, blocking near-term talks
The White House rejected press-based negotiations with Iran, pushing the odds of a diplomatic meeting by April 30 down to...
Nvidia surpasses Japan in MSCI ACWI weight, traders unfazed by market odds
Nvidia now represents 4.96% of the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI), surpassing Japan’s 4.94%. The June 30 market for...
