Brent crude hits three-week high as US-Iran talks stall
Brent crude rose $4 a barrel to a three-week high after US-Iran talks stalled, pushing the probability of crude oil...
Prediction Markets
US urges UN for maritime coalition to secure Strait of Hormuz navigation
The US has urged the UN to form a maritime coalition to ensure freedom of navigation through the Strait of...
Iran missile, drone strikes on Gulf states continue, US Ambassador warns
The US Ambassador to the UN highlighted ongoing Iranian missile and drone strikes on Gulf states. The market for Iran...
Trump blocks Iraq cash payments, pressures Iran-backed militias
The Trump administration has blocked cash payments to Iraq to compel the disbanding of Iranian-backed militias. Odds for Trump attending...
48,600 ETH worth $110.7M staked in Beacon Depositor from unknown wallets
A total of 48,600 ETH, worth $110.7 million, has been transferred to the Beacon Depositor from unknown wallets. On Polymarket,...
Iran strengthens Russia ties, complicating US peace talks
Iran’s foreign minister emphasized continued strategic relations with Russia after meeting with Putin, and the odds of a US-Iran permanent...
Iran tightens Strait of Hormuz control, dimming US peace deal prospects
Iran’s continued control of the Strait of Hormuz has cratered prospects for a US-Iran peace deal. The permanent peace deal...
Iran blockade strands 20,000 seafarers, 2,000 ships in Strait of Hormuz
The International Maritime Organization reports that 20,000 seafarers and 2,000 ships are stranded due to Iran’s blockade of the Strait...
Bahrain-led coalition of 80 nations condemns Iran’s regional actions
A joint statement from more than 80 nations, led by Bahrain, condemns Iran’s regional actions. The US-Iran nuclear deal by...
Tillis lifts block on Warsh Fed Chair nomination after DOJ drops Powell probe
Senator Thom Tillis has lifted his block on Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve Chair nomination after the DOJ dropped its investigation...
Trump’s China visit by May 31 looks unlikely amid tariff tensions
Trump’s aggressive tariff policies are making a China visit look less likely. The market for Trump visiting China by May...
Circle Ventures buys AAVE tokens amid USDC liquidity crisis
Circle Ventures is purchasing AAVE tokens to back Aave’s DeFi infrastructure as the USDC liquidity crisis unfolds. “USDC depeg by...
Iran claims unblockable oil exports amid war tensions
Mohsen Rezaee’s assertion that no country can block Iran’s oil exports has pushed the prediction market for crude oil hitting...
Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz amid sovereignty talks with Putin
Putin’s recent contact with Iran’s new Ayatollah and remarks to Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi frame Iran as “fighting for...
Lebanon’s Aoun defends Israel talks, accuses Hezbollah of prolonging conflict
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun declared that negotiating with Israel is not treason, framing it as necessary to end the war....
