UN Security Council deadlocked on Strait of Hormuz reopening
The UN Security Council has failed to agree on any action to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The market for...
Prediction Markets
Nvidia hits $5.2T market cap, poised to be largest by April 30
NVIDIA’s market cap has reached $5.2 trillion, and the Polymarket contract for NVIDIA being the largest company by market cap...
Bennett and Lapid form alliance to challenge Netanyahu’s leadership
Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid have formed a new political alliance called “Together – Led by Bennett” aimed at unseating...
US warns firms servicing Iran’s airlines of potential sanctions
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that firms servicing Iran’s airlines could face sanctions under Operation “Economic Fury.” The market...
Goldman warns of petrochemical shock, crude oil market eyes supply disruptions
Goldman Sachs has warned about a global petrochemical shock, and the Crude Oil Predictions for June market on Polymarket could...
Iran protests, economic woes fuel speculation on regime stability
The Polymarket contract on whether the Iranian regime will fall by June 30 has risen to 7.5%, up from 6%...
Iran-US tensions fail to boost crude oil all-time high odds by April 30
Ventas reported a double beat on Q1 earnings, with FFO at $0.94 and revenue at $1.657 billion, showing year-over-year growth....
Trump ends Pakistan talks, US-Iran ceasefire collapse seen as inevitable
Trump called off talks in Pakistan, dismissing them as futile. The market on the US-Iran ceasefire ending by April 21,...
US warns against Iranian airline ties, sanctions risk looms
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent cautioned that engaging with Iranian airlines may lead to sanctions. The market for no qualifying...
Trump demands Iran reopen Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday deadline
Trump posted on Truth Social demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday 8 PM. The odds of Trump...
Nvidia market cap surpasses Alphabet by $1T amid strong AI hardware demand
NVIDIA’s market cap reached $4.9 trillion, outpacing Alphabet by $1 trillion. The odds of NVIDIA being the largest company by...
Iran’s Supreme Council meets as Pahlavi entry speculation grows
Iran’s Supreme National Security Council convened to address potential protests led by opposition figure Prince Reza Pahlavi. The market for...
Bitcoin drops below $77,000 amid high-volume sell-offs, $71M liquidations
Bitcoin slipped under $77,000, touching $76,960 amid high-volume sell-offs and $71 million in liquidations. The likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $200,000...
Trump uses reconciliation to fund ICE, Border Patrol without Democrats
Trump is using reconciliation to fund ICE and Border Patrol without Democratic votes, a move that could affect the 2026...
Trump discusses new Iran proposal with security aides, impacting diplomatic odds
Trump’s discussion of a new Iran proposal with national security aides has moved the odds of no qualifying US-Iran meeting...
