Iran fires on tankers as US plans to board Iran-linked vessels in Hormuz
Iran fired on two tankers in the Strait of Hormuz while the US announced plans to board Iran-linked vessels. The...
Prediction Markets
Iran shuts Strait of Hormuz, exits talks, accuses US of attack plans
Iran shut down the Strait of Hormuz, withdrew from peace negotiations, and accused the US of planning an attack. The...
Iran tensions impact S&P 500, Bitcoin amid market volatility concerns
Weekend developments in Iran have put traders on alert, with the S&P 500 opening higher on April 15 at 100%...
Rumen Radev leads Bulgaria election, opposes Russia sanctions
Exit polls show Rumen Radev, who opposes sanctions against Russia, leading Bulgaria’s election. The market for Radev becoming the next...
Iran re-closes Strait of Hormuz as US-Iran ceasefire expires without deal
The U.S.-Iran ceasefire, agreed on April 8, 2026, expires April 22 with no extension deal in sight. Iran has re-closed...
Iran claims control of Hormuz as US forces retreat, negotiations stalled
Iranian officials claim US forces retreated from the Strait of Hormuz, asserting control and hindering negotiations. The market for Trump...
Israeli strike on Iranian hospital confirmed by CCTV footage
The Iranian Red Crescent released CCTV footage showing an Israeli strike on a hospital in Iran, part of the ongoing...
Iranian officials in Pakistan for US talks, possible ceasefire extension
Iranian officials arrived in Pakistan for US talks, suggesting a possible ceasefire extension. The market for a ceasefire extension by...
Iran rejects second round of US talks, impacting uranium enrichment market
Iran has refused to participate in a second round of talks with the US, according to IRNA. The odds of...
Iran expects ceasefire extension with US, plans talks in Pakistan
Iran’s National Security Committee head announced expectations for a ceasefire extension with the US and plans for talks in Pakistan....
Trump’s potential Islamabad visit coincides with drop in US-Iran peace deal odds
Trump’s potential visit to Islamabad for talks with Iran’s president has coincided with a sharp drop in peace deal odds....
Iran demands national interest in talks, US oil sanction relief unlikely
Iran’s National Security Committee is demanding that negotiations conform to national interests, and the market for Trump agreeing to Iranian...
Netanyahu says US-Israeli efforts against Iran ongoing, no end in sight
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu declared that US-Israeli efforts against Iran are “not over yet,” and the market on Trump announcing...
Tui Cruises ships transit Strait of Hormuz amid 2026 Iran war
Tui Cruises reports two ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz. The market predicting fewer than 10 ships transiting between...
President vows all means to end Middle East conflict amid ceasefire talks
The president’s vow to use all means to end the Middle Eastern conflict comes amid ongoing diplomatic talks. The probability...
