US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
## Market Snapshot Israel airspace closure by May 8 is currently priced at 2% YES, down from 8% in the...
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Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
## Market Snapshot The “Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?” market is currently priced at 32.5% YES, up from 30%...
Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
## Market Snapshot The “US-Iran Nuclear Deal” market is currently priced at 26.5% YES, up from 14% a day ago....
USS George H.W. Bush enforces US naval blockade, redirects 52 vessels in Hormuz
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Ship Transit: Currently priced at 75% YES, down from 78% a day ago. Strait...
Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
## Market Snapshot Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026, is priced at 0.9% YES, down from...
Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Price Predictions market is currently priced at 0.7% YES for May 6, a significant...
France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic by May: Currently priced at 6.2% YES, up from 2% 24 hours ago....
Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
## Market Snapshot The market for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 8.5% YES, down...
Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s market for being above $66,000 on May 6 shows a strong consensus, priced at 99.9% YES....
Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
## Market Snapshot Israel’s airspace closure market is currently priced at 1.6% YES for May 8 and 16.5% YES for...
Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
## Market Snapshot In the “Largest Company by Market Cap Predictions” market, NVIDIA is currently priced at 66.1% YES for...
US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to U.S. Government: Currently priced at 100% YES across all sub-markets for April 30,...
Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
## Market Snapshot The current market for Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement is priced at 58.5% YES, up from 26% 24...
Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
## Market Snapshot The market for whether Israel will close its airspace by May 8 is currently priced at 3.4%...
Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
## Market Snapshot The market for whether Israel will close its airspace by May 8 is currently priced at 3.4%...
