Trump warns of military action over Iran peace proposal dissatisfaction
## Market Snapshot The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal market is currently priced at 12% YES for June 30, 2026, down...
priced
Labour faces historic losses as Reform UK leads polls ahead of May 2026 elections
## Market Snapshot The “Starmer out by June 30, 2026?” market on Polymarket is currently priced at 39.5% YES, reflecting...
Romanian PM Bolojan likely to exit after government collapse
## Market Snapshot Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? market is currently priced at 99.6% YES, a significant increase...
Pentagon labels Anthropic a supply chain risk amid AI policy shift
## Market Snapshot Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government market is currently priced at 100% YES for all sub-markets. Recent...
Maersk ship transits Strait of Hormuz under US military escort amid tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 25.5% YES, reflecting a decrease from 34% just...
US-Iran tensions drive rupee to record low, impact oil and Bitcoin markets
## Market Snapshot The Bitcoin price market for May 7 is currently priced at 99.8% YES, slightly down from 100%...
Iran missile strike on US Navy escalates tensions, potential for US response
## Market Snapshot The “US Declaration of War on Iran” market is currently priced at 8.5% for a YES outcome,...
$226M in crypto short positions liquidated amid US-Iran-Israel tensions
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price predictions for May 8 are currently priced at 99.6% YES, down slightly from 100% 24...
Spirit Airlines to cease operations after failed bailout talks
## Market Snapshot The market for Spirit Airlines’ potential shutdown by May 31 is currently priced at 100% YES. This...
Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see $593M inflows amid geopolitical tensions
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price on May 4 is currently priced at 0.1% YES for being less than $68,000, unchanged...
Iran tensions rise as hackers leak US Navy officer data in Persian Gulf
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization is priced at lower likelihood for YES outcomes, with significant decline in...
Iran tensions rise as hackers leak US Navy officer data in Persian Gulf
## Market Snapshot Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization is priced at lower likelihood for YES outcomes, with significant decline in...
US Spot Bitcoin ETFs acquire $532.3M in Bitcoin amid regulatory clarity push
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price on May 4 market is priced at 0.1% YES for being less than $68,000. This...
US Spot Bitcoin ETFs acquire $532.3M in Bitcoin amid regulatory clarity push
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price on May 4 market is priced at 0.1% YES for being less than $68,000. This...
South Korea joins talks to ensure safe passage through Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market is currently priced at 27.5% YES, down from 28% 24 hours...
