Trump signals continued Hormuz blockade as strategic measure
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 36% YES, down from 40% a day ago...
priced
Medvedev warns of nuclear apocalypse amid Russia-NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot Russia-NATO invasion market: Priced at 2.4% YES, down from 3% a day ago. Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market: Active...
Middle East conflict fuels ECB rate cut speculation amid recession fears
## Market Snapshot The ECB interest rates market for April 2026 is currently priced at 100% YES for a 50+...
Meta Platforms set to hit $740 by April 2026 amid AI-driven growth
## Market Snapshot Meta Platforms’ stock price prediction markets are currently priced at 100% YES for reaching $740 during the...
Iran declares no limit on uranium enrichment under IAEA supervision
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Nuclear Deal: Currently priced at 16% YES, a slight increase from 14% in the last 24...
Iran conflict escalates, oil prices expected to hit $90 by June end
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market is currently priced at 100% YES for crude oil hitting...
Iran warns ships, redirects traffic amid Bab el-Mandeb tensions
## Market Snapshot Bab el-Mandeb Strait Closure market is currently priced at 10.5% YES, down from 11% a day ago....
IDF deploys Iron Drone Raider in Lebanon amid Hezbollah drone threat
## Market Snapshot Israel Withdraws from Lebanon market is currently priced at 9% YES for June 30, 2026, and 3.7%...
Iran’s IRGC warns US of narrowing window amid regional tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran’s potential airspace closure market is currently priced at 12.5% YES for a May 8 resolution, down...
Trump rejects Iran’s proposal, US-Iran nuclear deal faces setbacks
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, up from 14% 24 hours ago....
Israel deploys Spectro defense systems to UAE amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” market is currently priced at 12.5% YES, down from...
Spirit Airlines shuts down after failed bailout, liquidation confirmed
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” is currently priced at 100% YES, confirming...
Justice Department drops investigation into Fed Chair Powell, easing Warsh’s path
## Market Snapshot In the “Jerome Powell Out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026” market, YES is priced at...
Trump administration approves $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for a “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31” is currently priced at 15.5% YES, up...
Tehran healthcare collapse amid US-Israel strikes sparks airspace closure fears
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” market is currently priced at 13.5% YES, down from...
