Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failed $500M bailout talks
## Market Snapshot Spirit Airlines shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES, with no observed volume over the last...
priced
Drone threats in Baltic states, Finland raise NATO-Russia clash concerns
## Market Snapshot The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market is priced at 5.9% YES, a slight decrease from 6% the previous day....
Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid soaring fuel costs
## Market Snapshot The Spirit Airlines shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES, with the question resolved due to...
Q1 2026 US GDP growth confirmed, contradicting market predictions
## Market Snapshot The market for US GDP growth in Q1 2026 being less than 1.0% is currently priced at...
Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon escalate tensions with Iran
## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down...
UAE resumes full air traffic as Iran airspace closure odds fall
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, down from...
Saudi mediation in Lebanon stalls amid internal divisions, impacting Israel withdrawal
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026” market is currently priced at 2% YES, down...
Ukraine drone attack on Russian tankers escalates tensions, dims ceasefire hopes
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026: currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10% 24...
Spirit Airlines confirms shutdown amid regulatory, geopolitical pressures
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for Spirit Airlines’ shutdown by May 31 is currently priced at 100% YES. This...
Trump doubts Iran peace proposal amid ongoing diplomatic challenges
## Market Snapshot US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours...
US blockade cripples Iranian economy despite fragile ceasefire
## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” is currently priced at 20.5% YES, down...
US federal debt reaches record $39T amid economic growth concerns
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for US GDP growth in Q1 2026 is currently priced at 100% YES for...
Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty
## Market Snapshot US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down from 16% 24 hours ago. The...
Iran submits 14-point proposal to US, aims to reopen Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 32% YES,...
Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid financial struggles and rising fuel costs
## Market Snapshot The Spirit Airlines shutdown market is currently priced at 100% YES for a shutdown or liquidation by...
