Iran maintains Hormuz blockade, impacting global oil shipments
## Market Snapshot The “Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization” market is currently priced at a level suggesting diminished expectations for...
priced
Trump fast-tracks $8.6B arms deal to Middle East amid Iran tensions: FT
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently priced at uncertain YES. The US-Iran nuclear...
Iran vows to protect missile, nuclear tech amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Airspace Closure: Currently priced at 14% YES for a closure by May 8, down from 24%...
Bank of Botswana hikes rates amid global inflation pressures
## Market Snapshot The Bank of Brazil decision market for April 2026 is currently priced at 100% YES for an...
US fast-tracks arms sales to Middle East allies amid rising Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced with concerns about a potential increase, but...
Ukraine seeks clarity from Trump on Russia’s May 9 truce proposal
## Market Snapshot Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, slightly down from...
Bitcoin struggles below $78K resistance amid ETF outflows
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s market predicting it will not reach $80,000 in April is priced at 0.1% YES, down from...
Zelensky warns of military activity on Belarus border amid ceasefire doubts
## Market Snapshot In the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026” market, YES shares are priced at 9.5%,...
MegaETH TVL nears $600M after MEGA token launch despite price drop
## Market Snapshot MegaETH’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) one day after launch is currently priced at 100% YES, suggesting certainty...
China blocks US sanctions on refineries, impacting oil market dynamics
## Market Snapshot The market for Donald Trump’s visit to China by May 2026 is priced at 0.1% YES for...
OPEC+ nations agree to raise oil output quotas by 188,000 BPD for June
## Market Snapshot Crude Oil Price Predictions by June market is currently priced at 100% YES for crude oil hitting...
Trump calls for war with Iran to stop nuclear threat
## Market Snapshot The market for a US declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026, is currently priced...
Trump calls US Navy actions “piracy” amid Hormuz blockade tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market is currently priced at 39.5% YES, down from 44% in the last...
Iran’s internet blackout enters tenth week amid ongoing conflict
## Market Snapshot The Iranian regime fall market for June 30 is currently priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8%...
Iran-backed militias attack US-UK base in Iraq 28 times before ceasefire
## Market Snapshot Iran Military Action market is currently priced at 100% YES for an Iranian strike on Israel by...
