Iran conflict, inflation complicate Fed rate cuts for 2026
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” market, the probability of no rate cuts is currently...
probability
Bitcoin rises 15% after Delphi Digital coordination shift
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 4 currently reflect a 99.9% YES probability, unchanged from 24 hours earlier....
US Secretary of War endorses Bitcoin as strategic tool in national security
## Market Snapshot In the “Bitcoin Future Price Predictions” market, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026,...
Nation-state adoption boosts Bitcoin’s institutional confidence, says Adam Back
## Market Snapshot In the “Bitcoin Future Price Predictions” market, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026,...
US equities hit record highs amid strong Q1 earnings despite US-Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot Meta Platforms stock price predictions currently show a 0.1% probability for reaching $740 by the week of...
Bitcoin ETFs see 5-week inflow streak amid easing US-Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price Targets markets currently show a 0.1% YES probability for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April. This...
Senator Tillis stalls CLARITY Act, impacting Bitcoin’s long-term outlook
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin’s future price prediction market currently prices a 4.4% YES probability for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December...
Ethereum Foundation sells $22.9M ETH, market confidence wanes
## Market Snapshot Ethereum’s market pricing reflects a 3.8% YES probability for reaching $10,000 by December 31, 2026, with a...
IRGC asserts Supreme Leader to set new Persian Gulf rules amid power shift
## Market Snapshot Iran Leadership Change market shows a 35.5% YES probability by December 31, down from 40% 24 hours...
Powell warns high oil prices may impact US economy amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot In the Strait of Hormuz traffic market, the probability of a return to normal by the end...
Fed’s Hammack opposes rate cut, aligns with hawkish regional sentiment
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?” market, the implied probability for a rate cut...
Iran sends peace proposal to US, WTI crude futures fall
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market is currently showing a lower probability for a YES...
Iran responds to US amendments amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations
## Market Snapshot US-Iran Ceasefire market currently shows a 0.1% YES probability, down from 1% 24 hours ago and 6%...
FCC review of ABC licenses intensifies pressure on Jimmy Kimmel
## Market Snapshot Jimmy Kimmel Fired/Resigns market currently shows a 6.5% probability of a YES outcome by May 31, up...
Israeli shelling on Labour Day escalates tensions in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot In the “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?” market, the YES probability is at 0.1%,...
