Trump sees ceasefire extension unlikely without deal, market skeptical
Trump declared a ceasefire extension “highly unlikely” without a deal. The probability of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April...
probability
Kuwait declares force majeure on oil shipments amid Hormuz blockade
Kuwait has declared force majeure on its oil shipments due to the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. The probability...
Institutional investors acquire $2.5B in Bitcoin, boosting April price targets
Lookonchain’s latest report reveals a $2.54B Bitcoin acquisition by institutional investors. The probability of Bitcoin exceeding $62,000 on April 17...
US-Iran diplomatic gaps narrow, Bitcoin steady amid dollar concerns
Al Hadath reports narrowing gaps between the US and Iran. The probability of no qualifying US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June...
Bitcoin Price Crash Ahead? Markets Signal 67% Chance of Drop Below $55K
Prediction markets indicate a 67% probability that Bitcoin will fallIn addition, long-term analysis using Fibonacci channels shows that Bitcoin could...
Bitcoin nears $100K target as Strait of Hormuz tensions ease, capital shifts
Bitcoin’s probability of reaching $100,000 by December 31 has climbed to 36.5%, up from 31% yesterday, as traders react to...
Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid Israel-Iran military escalation
Israel’s attack on Iran’s oil facilities and Iran’s disruption of the Strait of Hormuz have hit the probability of a...
Market predicts 86% chance of US forces entering Iran by April 30
Iraqi militias and Iran launched missiles and drones at U.S. embassies and bases. The probability of US forces entering Iran...
Odds of US forces entering Iran by april 30 rise to 63% after trump’s speech
Following President Trump’s recent address, the probability of US forces entering Iran by April 30 rose to 63% YES, up...
