US confirms talks with Iran amid Operation Epic Fury: CNN
## Market Snapshot The market for “Next US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting by June 30, 2026” is currently priced at 33.4% YES,...
Snapshot The
Trump rejects Iran’s proposal, US-Iran nuclear deal faces setbacks
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, up from 14% 24 hours ago....
US warns of sanctions for ships paying Iran tolls in Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market concerning whether Trump will agree to Iranian demands is now less optimistic, with the current...
Tehran healthcare collapse amid US-Israel strikes sparks airspace closure fears
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” market is currently priced at 13.5% YES, down from...
US maintains legal blockade of Strait of Hormuz, reducing war declaration likelihood
## Market Snapshot The market for Trump announcing the lifting of the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by...
Iran proposes three-stage plan to end hostilities with US
## Market Snapshot The market for “Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting” is currently relevant, with the proposal increasing the...
Iran warns of control over Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?” is currently priced...
Drone threats in Baltic states, Finland raise NATO-Russia clash concerns
## Market Snapshot The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market is priced at 5.9% YES, a slight decrease from 6% the previous day....
Iran issues one-month ultimatum to end US-Israeli conflict and blockade
## Market Snapshot The market “WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026” currently reflects uncertainty around the potential for oil...
Trump considers Iran peace proposal as Hormuz traffic halts
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” currently shows uncertainty with no active odds....
Q1 2026 US GDP growth confirmed, contradicting market predictions
## Market Snapshot The market for US GDP growth in Q1 2026 being less than 1.0% is currently priced at...
Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon escalate tensions with Iran
## Market Snapshot The market for “Iran closes its airspace by May 8?” is currently priced at 14.5% YES, down...
US Defense partners with tech giants for AI-first military initiative
## Market Snapshot The “Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government” market currently shows 100% YES across all active sub-markets, with...
Kuwait halts oil exports amid Hormuz blockade, first since Gulf War
## Market Snapshot The “Iranian Demands Trump Will Agree To” market suggests decreased likelihood for a YES outcome, with the...
UAE resumes full air traffic as Iran airspace closure odds fall
## Market Snapshot The “Iran closes its airspace by May 8” market is currently priced at 16.5% YES, down from...
