Trump warns of potential US strikes on Iran if they “misbehave”
## Market Snapshot The “US Invasion of Iran” market currently indicates increased likelihood of military action, with a shift in...
Snapshot The
Iran maintains Hormuz blockade, impacting global oil shipments
## Market Snapshot The “Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization” market is currently priced at a level suggesting diminished expectations for...
Supertanker crosses Strait of Hormuz, hinting at traffic normalization
## Market Snapshot The Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization market is seeing increased activity, with implications of a potential move...
Hezbollah escalates conflict with Israel using fibre-optic drones in Lebanon
## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down...
Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps Hormuz blockade amid tensions
## Market Snapshot The “next US x Iran diplomatic meeting” market is currently evaluating the likelihood of a meeting on...
Bank of England holds rates, signals future hikes amid Iran war
## Market Snapshot The ECB interest rates market for April 2026 currently shows a 100% probability of maintaining the status...
Bank of Botswana hikes rates amid global inflation pressures
## Market Snapshot The Bank of Brazil decision market for April 2026 is currently priced at 100% YES for an...
Iran accuses US of NPT non-compliance, heightening diplomatic tensions
## Market Snapshot The market addressing the likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, currently prices at...
US fast-tracks $8.6B arms deals amid Iran tensions, impacting oil markets
## Market Snapshot The market for WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 currently shows uncertainty, with the potential for...
North Korean hackers behind record $635M crypto theft in April 2026
## Market Snapshot The market concerning “Anthropic Mythos Provision to US Government” reflects a 100% YES pricing across all sub-markets,...
US redirects 48 vessels to enforce Hormuz blockade amid ongoing operation
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz...
Trump orders 5,000 US troops out of Germany amid NATO tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the US withdraw from NATO before 2027?” is currently priced at 0.1% YES...
Iraq reroutes oil exports through Syria, bypassing Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The “Strait of Hormuz traffic” market is currently affected by the news, which implies a decrease in...
Drone strike on Chornobyl escalates Russo-Ukrainian conflict tensions
## Market Snapshot The “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?” market currently shows a 6% chance of a...
China blocks US sanctions on refineries, impacting oil market dynamics
## Market Snapshot The market for Donald Trump’s visit to China by May 2026 is priced at 0.1% YES for...
