Trump skeptical of Iran peace proposal, traders doubt April 30 deal
Trump’s skepticism of Iran’s latest peace proposal has traders doubtful a deal will materialize soon. The odds of a permanent...
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Trump discusses new Iran proposal with security aides, impacting diplomatic odds
Trump’s discussion of a new Iran proposal with national security aides has moved the odds of no qualifying US-Iran meeting...
Trump’s China visit by May 31 looks unlikely amid tariff tensions
Trump’s aggressive tariff policies are making a China visit look less likely. The market for Trump visiting China by May...
Iran leadership split on Trump’s uranium demands, nuclear deal unlikely by April 30
Axios reports internal disagreement within Iran’s leadership on Trump’s uranium demands. The market for a US-Iran nuclear deal by April...
Trump warns Iran of potential oil shut-ins within three days
Trump suggested Iran faces potential oil shut-ins within three days. Trump’s agreement to Iranian oil sanction relief in April is...
Trump’s demand for US control of Iran’s nuclear material stalls deal prospects
Trump’s push for US control of Iran’s nuclear material has collapsed market odds. The US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30...
Trump hints at Iran peace talks, June 30 deal market splits YES
Trump’s recent comments about a potential end to the Iran conflict and willingness to negotiate by phone have moved prediction...
Trump cancels envoy trip, Iran talks stall as diplomatic market collapses
Trump’s cancellation of his envoys’ trip to Iran and Tehran’s refusal to negotiate under threat have frozen diplomatic progress. The...
Trump escalates Iran strategy with naval blockade, frozen crypto assets
Trump’s latest strategy includes a naval blockade and frozen crypto assets. The odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by...
Trump returns to White House, announces imminent press conference
Trump’s return to the White House and announcement of an imminent news conference has traders reassessing the likelihood of him...
Trump’s “Anaconda Plan” targets Iran with naval blockade, sanctions
Trump’s “Anaconda Plan” aims to choke Iran’s economy through a naval blockade and sanctions. The market for Trump agreeing to...
Trump’s uranium seizure plan dims prospects for Iran nuclear deal by April 30
Trump’s plan to seize Iran’s enriched uranium signals a hardline stance that makes an April 30 nuclear deal less likely....
Trump’s uranium seizure plan dims prospects for Iran nuclear deal by April 30
Trump’s plan to seize Iran’s enriched uranium signals a hardline stance that makes an April 30 nuclear deal less likely....
Trump’s uranium seizure plan dims prospects for Iran nuclear deal by April 30
Trump’s plan to seize Iran’s enriched uranium signals a hardline stance that makes an April 30 nuclear deal less likely....
Iranian regime projects unity, reducing collapse expectations
Iran’s leadership is projecting unity following Trump’s remarks, pushing the probability of the Iranian regime falling by May 31 down...
