Market Whiplash: Oil Sinks to $88, Then Spikes as Iran Claims Control of Hormuz
Trump’s hopes to end Epic Fury dropped WTI to $88.66, but future deals face hurdles from Iran’s new demands.Iran’s new...
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Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
## Market Snapshot The current market for Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement is priced at 58.5% YES, up from 26% 24...
Beijing blocks Meta’s $2B Manus deal amid US-China tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China markets are currently priced at 0.1% YES for May 5, 0.2% YES for...
South Korea joins talks to ensure safe passage through Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market is currently priced at 27.5% YES, down from 28% 24 hours...
South Korea joins talks to ensure safe passage through Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market is currently priced at 27.5% YES, down from 28% 24 hours...
Iran declares unauthorized Hormuz vessels as legitimate targets amid US tensions
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market, the likelihood of a blockade lift by May 31 is...
IRGC maintains control over Strait of Hormuz, ensuring vessel safety
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market, the YES outcome is currently priced at 26%, down from...
UKMTO warns of increased naval activity in Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market, the probability of a YES outcome is currently at 35.5%,...
Iran accuses US of piracy over seized oil tankers amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market shows 32.5% YES, down from 40% in the last 24 hours. US-Iran...
China blocks US sanctions on refineries, impacting oil market dynamics
## Market Snapshot The market for Donald Trump’s visit to China by May 2026 is priced at 0.1% YES for...
Bitcoin’s Path To $100K May Happen Before Anyone Understands Why: Analyst
A “big announcement” tied to US President Donald Trump’s Bitcoin reserve is expected within weeks, according to White House crypto...
US C-17 lands in Beijing, signaling preparations for Trump’s China visit in May
## Market Snapshot The market for Trump’s visit to China by May 1 currently shows 0.1% YES, with prices unchanged...
US blockade costs Iran $4.8B in oil revenue, Pentagon reports
## Market Snapshot The “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market is currently priced at 40.5% YES, down from 44% 24 hours...
Kevin Warsh clears Senate committee, markets react to potential Fed leadership change
Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, cleared the Senate Banking Committee with a 13-11 vote. Jerome Powell...
Trump declares military victory over Iran, reducing strike likelihood
Trump’s proclamation of military victory over Iran at the State Dinner with King Charles has pushed military action odds to...
