Trump’s nuclear comment impacts US-Iran peace deal market, odds drop sharply
Trump’s comment on retrieving Iranian “nuclear dust” after any deal has driven the April 22 permanent peace deal market down...
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Trump signals no imminent end to Hormuz blockade amid ongoing talks
Trump’s comments on Iran suggest no imminent end to the Hormuz blockade. Odds of lifting the blockade by May 31...
Trump demands Israel halt Lebanon airstrikes, sparking Netanyahu crisis
Trump’s demand for Israel to halt its airstrikes in Lebanon has triggered a political crisis in the Netanyahu government, pushing...
Democrats fail to block Trump’s Iran actions, peace deal by April 22 uncertain
Democrats failed to block Trump’s military actions in Iran, and the US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22 now...
Trump maintains Iranian port blockade despite strait reopening
Trump’s blockade of Iranian ports continues despite the strait’s reopening, and the market for a US blockade lift by May...
Iran’s Ghalibaf dismisses Trump’s claims, tensions rise over Hormuz blockade
Iran’s Speaker of the Parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, dismissed President Trump’s recent claims as false, pointing to continued friction over...
Meta to cut 8,000 jobs amid big tech cost-cutting efforts
Meta Platforms plans to cut 8,000 jobs, and Trump’s Strait of Hormuz announcement has shifted geopolitical expectations. Crude oil predictions...
Trump frustration raises questions about Netanyahu’s political future
Trump’s dissatisfaction with Israeli actions has sparked speculation about Netanyahu’s tenure, with odds for Netanyahu stepping down by June 30...
Trump announces US-Iran joint uranium excavation plan
Trump’s announcement of a US-Iran joint excavation to retrieve enriched uranium has moved prediction markets. Odds for the US obtaining...
Iran denies Trump’s claim of uranium transfer to US
Iran has denied President Trump’s claim that it will transfer enriched uranium to the US, according to Al Jazeera. The...
Congress blocks measure to limit Trump’s military action against Iran
A party-line vote in Congress blocked a measure that would restrict President Trump’s authority to escalate military actions against Iran....
Trump-Meloni rift strains US-Europe ties amid NATO withdrawal speculation
President Trump’s falling out with Italy’s Giorgia Meloni is adding strain to US-Europe relations, and the Polymarket contract on US...
Trump’s Iran comments shake Bitcoin markets as traders brace for volatility
Trump’s ambiguous comments on US-Iran talks have rattled Bitcoin markets, with the probability of Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 in April...
Lebanon denies planned Israel contact, contradicts Trump statement
Lebanon denies any planned contact with Israel, contradicting President Trump’s statement. The odds of an Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April...
Trump Fed Pick Kevin Warsh Reveals Stake in Bitcoin Lightning Startup Flashnet
Trump’s nominee for Federal Reserve chair, Kevin Warsh, has disclosed
