US market odds for ground troops entering Iran by April 30 surge to 86%
U.S. forces are actively removing Iranian attack drones threatening Americans and civilians. The odds of U.S. ground troops entering Iran...
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Trump’s threat drops US-Iran ceasefire odds to 1% for April 7
Trump’s threat of escalation if no Iran deal by Monday drops US-Iran ceasefire odds to 1% YES for April 7,...
Trump’s ultimatum to Iran lowers April ceasefire odds to 1%
Trump’s ultimatum to Iran: open the Strait of Hormuz or face repercussions. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April...
Lebanese president urges negotiations with Israel amid IDF strikes on Hezbollah
The Lebanese president has urged negotiations with Israel as the IDF targets Hezbollah in Beirut. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire...
Oman and Iran discuss maritime transit as ceasefire odds drop to 1%
Oman and Iran are in talks about maritime transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The odds of a ceasefire by...
US considers seizing strategic islands near Iran, ceasefire odds plummet
The US is considering seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have...
US-Europe alliance strains over Iran conflict as ceasefire odds drop to 1%
The U.S.-Europe alliance is under strain due to the Iran conflict, with ceasefire odds by April 7 plummeting to 1%...
US-Iran clash raises odds for troop deployment to 86% by April 30
A U.S.-Iran clash in southwestern Iran has shaken markets. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 have jumped...
Traders skeptical of US-Iran ceasefire as April 7 odds drop to 1%
The Pentagon reports advances against Iran, but Iran remains defiant. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 have plummeted to...
Odds of US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 drop to 1% amid escalating tensions
Iran’s warning of potential escalation has driven the odds of a ceasefire by April 7 down to 1% YES. This...
Iran warns of regional chaos for US if tensions escalate, ceasefire odds drop
Iran has issued a warning to the U.S., threatening regional chaos if tensions continue. The odds of a ceasefire by...
Iran rejects temporary ceasefire, demands permanent war resolution guarantees
Iran has rejected a temporary ceasefire, demanding guarantees for a permanent end to the war. The odds of a ceasefire...
Iran rejects temporary ceasefire, demands permanent guarantees instead
Iran has rejected a temporary ceasefire proposal, demanding permanent guarantees instead. The odds for a ceasefire by April 7 are...
Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid escalating US-Iran tensions and military strikes: FT
Iran’s call for a permanent ceasefire clashes with rising conflict. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 have dropped to...
Bitcoin ETFs see $69.6M inflows in April 2026, but $100K target remains at 0% YES
Bitcoin ETFs see $69.59 million inflows in April 2026, but odds of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by June 30 remain at...
