Iran’s Khamenei declares navy ready for ‘new defeats’ against enemies
Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei declared the navy ready to deliver “new defeats” to enemies, escalating rhetoric as the probability of...
Prediction Markets
Trump: Iran to halt uranium enrichment, reopen Strait of Hormuz
Trump claims Iran will stop enriching uranium and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The market for “Iran agrees to end...
Pakistan prepares for US-Iran peace talks with increased security
Pakistan has begun preparations for a new round of US-Iran peace talks, with increased security in Islamabad and Rawalpindi. The...
Calls for treaty to shut down Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site
Calls for a treaty to shut down Iran’s fortified Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site have pushed traders to reassess US-Iran ceasefire...
Democrats fail to block Trump’s Iran actions, peace deal by April 22 uncertain
Democrats failed to block Trump’s military actions in Iran, and the US-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 22 now...
Sanctioned tankers pass through Strait of Hormuz despite US blockade
Sanctioned tankers Crave and Gardian have passed through the Strait of Hormuz despite the US blockade. The market on Strait...
Boyaa Interactive shifts treasury strategy to focus solely on Bitcoin
Boyaa Interactive, a major corporate Bitcoin holder in Asia, announced it will focus solely on Bitcoin for its treasury, dropping...
EU military simulations spotlight NATO withdrawal speculation
The EU’s decision to conduct military simulations operationalizing its mutual assistance clause has drawn attention to the NATO withdrawal market...
Trump maintains Iranian port blockade despite strait reopening
Trump’s blockade of Iranian ports continues despite the strait’s reopening, and the market for a US blockade lift by May...
Iran-US war declaration market stable amid economic constraints
The market for a US declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026, sits at 7.5% YES, showing little...
Pakistan mediates US-Iran talks, Trump oil sanction relief odds rise
Pakistan’s military, led by Chief Asim Munir, is mediating between the US and Iran and preparing for direct talks in...
Iran arrests 127 in crackdown amid regime change speculation
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards arrested 127 individuals in three provinces on security-related accusations. The Iranian regime’s fall by May 31 trades...
Traders see US-Iran conflict resolution, oil prices hit $90 amid disruptions
Traders are pricing in a growing likelihood of US-Iran conflict resolution, with the odds of a permanent peace deal by...
US destroyers intercept Iranian tankers in Strait of Hormuz
Washington Post reports U.S. destroyers have forced three Iranian tankers to turn back and are pursuing two others. Strait of...
Trump threatens airstrikes if US-Iran ceasefire deal not reached by April 21
Trump warned he will resume airstrikes if the US-Iran ceasefire doesn’t produce a deal by April 21. The ceasefire extension...
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