Iran denies uranium transfer to US, impacting market probabilities
Iran’s denial of transferring enriched uranium to the US has pushed the odds for the US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium...
Prediction Markets
Crypto Fear and Greed Index hits “Greed” for first time since October 2025
The CMC Crypto Fear and Greed Index has reached “Greed” for the first time since October 2025, while the Polymarket...
Israeli ceasefire with Lebanon reflects US pressure, not public sentiment
Political commentator Abed Abou Shhadeh claims the Israeli ceasefire with Lebanon reflects US pressure rather than Israeli public sentiment. The...
Trump announces US-Iran joint uranium excavation plan
Trump’s announcement of a US-Iran joint excavation to retrieve enriched uranium has moved prediction markets. Odds for the US obtaining...
Trump predicts quick resolution with Iran, hints at oil sanction relief
Trump predicts a quick resolution with Iran despite hawkish rhetoric. The market for Iranian oil sanction relief in April sits...
Israeli troops demolish homes in Lebanese border towns amid ongoing hostilities
Israeli troops are demolishing homes in Lebanese border towns they control, according to Lebanese media. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire...
Hezbollah warns Lebanon’s president against meeting Netanyahu, risking talks
Hezbollah warned Lebanon’s President Joseph Aoun against meeting Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, putting diplomatic talks at risk. The market...
Trump announces US-Iran uranium extraction partnership at ‘leisurely pace’
Trump announced a U.S.-Iran partnership to extract enriched uranium at a “leisurely pace,” and the market for US obtaining Iranian...
Gulf crisis enters chronic phase, Strait of Hormuz traffic remains disrupted
The Gulf crisis has moved into a chronic phase of sustained disruptions rather than acute strikes, with Strait of Hormuz...
Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran negotiation progress
Iran has reopened the Strait of Hormuz, and the market for Trump agreeing to Iranian demands in April is at...
Middle East conflict impacts South Africa tourism amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
The “Strait of Hormuz Ship Transit April” market is drawing trader attention as Middle East conflict continues to disrupt regional...
Amazon stock hits record high, challenges Nvidia’s market cap lead
Amazon’s stock reached record highs on April 17, 2026, as investor sentiment toward its AI investments improved. The move has...
Iraq resumes southern oil exports after month-long Strait of Hormuz halt
Iraq’s southern oil exports have resumed after a month-long halt caused by the Strait of Hormuz disruption. The market on...
Iran denies Trump’s claim of uranium transfer to US
Iran has denied President Trump’s claim that it will transfer enriched uranium to the US, according to Al Jazeera. The...
Iran rejects US ceasefire terms, tensions rise amid ongoing hostilities
The likelihood of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 21 sits at 5.5% YES, pressured by active hostilities and Iran’s rejection...
