IMF warns of global economic risks from US-Iran conflict amid Hormuz tensions
IMF members are set to warn about the global economic risks posed by the US-Iran conflict later today. The market...
Prediction Markets
Kevin Warsh nominated for Fed Chair, advocates rate cuts in 2026
Kevin Warsh, nominated for Fed Chair, advocates for two rate cuts in 2026. The federal funds rate at 4.25% by...
Netanyahu signals continued operations against Hezbollah, delaying Lebanon ceasefire
Prime Minister Netanyahu has announced that Israel’s operations against Hezbollah are far from complete, pushing the likelihood of Israel suspending...
Trump claims US will secure Iran’s enriched uranium
Trump announced on Truth Social that the US will obtain Iran’s enriched uranium. The market for US obtains Iranian enriched...
Psaki dismisses 25th Amendment removal of Trump as unlikely
Jen Psaki dismissed the idea of invoking the 25th Amendment against President Trump in an interview, saying it’s “never going...
Trump prohibits Israel from bombing Lebanon, pushing for diplomatic solutions
President Trump stated that Israel is now “prohibited by the USA” from bombing Lebanon. The US-Iran permanent peace deal by...
Anthropic delays Claude Mythos AI model release over security risks
Anthropic has postponed the public release of its AI model Claude Mythos due to security risks, and odds of Claude...
Qatari LNG tankers attempt Persian Gulf entry via Strait of Hormuz
Two Qatari LNG tankers, Al Daayen and Rasheeda, are attempting to enter the Persian Gulf via the Strait of Hormuz....
Solana shorts liquidated for $24M as token surges past $90
Over $24 million in Solana short positions were liquidated as the token surged above $90, and the Solana Price Prediction...
Cerebras, Rebellions secure record funding; Nvidia’s market position remains strong
Cerebras and Rebellions have closed record funding rounds, but Polymarket’s odds on Nvidia being the largest company by market cap...
Circle faces class action after $285M Drift Protocol hack on Solana
Circle faces a class action lawsuit after the $285 million hack of Drift Protocol. The market on whether Solana’s price...
India invited to join UK, France in Strait of Hormuz security initiative
India has been invited by the UK and France to join their initiative to restore safe passage through the Strait...
Israel continues military operations against Hezbollah, eyes Beirut escalation
Israel announced that its military operation against Hezbollah is “still not complete.” Odds for Israeli military action in Greater Beirut...
Bitcoin miners halt sales, whales accumulate 270,000 BTC since February
Miners have stopped selling Bitcoin since February, while whales have amassed 270,000 BTC. The Bitcoin price above $62,000 on April...
EU plans joint action on jet fuel amid potential Hormuz blockade shortage
The EU is preparing joint action on jet fuel in response to a potential aviation fuel shortage if Iran’s blockade...
