Trump signals potential concessions in Iran talks
A senior Gulf official says Trump is signaling potential concessions in Iran talks. The probability of Trump agreeing to Iranian...
Prediction Markets
Iran may close Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, complicating Saudi oil exports
Saudi Arabia’s rerouted oil exports through the Red Sea face a new complication: Iran may move to close the Bab-el-Mandeb...
Bulgaria’s elections Sunday could secure Radev’s path to prime minister
Bulgaria’s parliamentary elections this Sunday have pushed Rumen Radev’s chances of becoming the next Prime Minister to 93.9% YES, up...
US aims to disarm Hezbollah, signaling shift from diplomacy to confrontation
The U.S. reportedly aims to actively participate in disarming Hezbollah, with President Trump pushing for deeper involvement. The Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire...
Bitcoin miner reserves drop 61,000 BTC, sell pressure mounts
Bitcoin miner reserves have fallen by approximately 61,000 BTC this cycle, with Marathon Digital and Riot Platforms offloading over 32,000...
Spain blocks US base access amid Iran tensions, impacting oil markets
Spain’s refusal to allow US access to its military bases during rising US-Iran tensions has shifted crude oil markets. Crude...
Chinese cargo planes reportedly land in Iran, raising Strait of Hormuz tensions
Unconfirmed reports of four Chinese cargo planes turning off transponders and landing in Iran, potentially carrying arms, have put the...
Lebanese MPs push for demilitarized Beirut amid ceasefire talks
Lebanese MPs have agreed to push for a demilitarized Beirut, an unexpected move with direct relevance to several Polymarket contracts....
Goldman Sachs files for Bitcoin Premium Income ETF with SEC
Goldman Sachs filed for a Bitcoin Premium Income ETF with the SEC on April 14. The Polymarket contract on Bitcoin...
Fitch flags 15% of European leveraged finance at risk from Iran conflict
Fitch has flagged 15% of European leveraged finance as at risk from Iran conflict spillover. The Polymarket contract on whether...
Global crude exports drop 9M b/d amid Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz blockade
Global crude exports have dropped by over 9 million barrels per day year-over-year due to the ongoing conflict involving Iran...
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards signal military readiness, raising conflict concerns
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards declared a “finger on the trigger” readiness, signaling potential military escalation. The April 21 ceasefire end market...
DAZN to Embed Blockchain-Backed FIFA Prediction Market in World Cup 2026 Live Streams
Key Takeaways:A Controversial Sprint From Gibraltar License to DAZN Deal Prediction and betting components are going to be significantly more...
IEA warns of oil price spikes if Strait of Hormuz remains closed
IEA chief warned markets about major price spikes if the Strait of Hormuz isn’t reopened, but the WTI Crude Oil...
Congress blocks measure to limit Trump’s military action against Iran
A party-line vote in Congress blocked a measure that would restrict President Trump’s authority to escalate military actions against Iran....
