Iran war prolongs Germany’s economic stagnation, GDP forecast cut
Germany faces a fourth year of economic stagnation from the ongoing Iran war, with GDP growth forecasts halved to 0.6%...
Prediction Markets
Iran-US blockades in Strait of Hormuz heighten oil transit concerns
The ongoing blockades by Iran and the US in the Strait of Hormuz continue to raise concerns about oil transit...
US dollar declines as Iran peace talks reduce safe-haven demand
The U.S. dollar is in its second consecutive weekly decline as optimism around Iran peace talks reduces safe-haven demand. The...
G7 pledges economic stability amid Iran conflict, eyes on Bank of Japan policy
G7 finance ministers have committed to stabilizing the global economy during the ongoing Iran conflict, and the Polymarket contract on...
Trump invites Netanyahu, Aoun to White House for Israel-Lebanon talks
Trump invited Israeli PM Netanyahu and Lebanese President Aoun to the White House for talks, and the Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting...
Pentagon shakeup continues with ouster of Army Chief Gen. Randy George
The Pentagon’s leadership shakeup continues with the ouster of Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George. The Gulf State military...
Trump-Meloni rift strains US-Europe ties amid NATO withdrawal speculation
President Trump’s falling out with Italy’s Giorgia Meloni is adding strain to US-Europe relations, and the Polymarket contract on US...
Anthropic releases Claude Opus 4.7, resolves Polymarket contract YES
Anthropic has released Claude Opus 4.7, resolving the Polymarket contract on whether the model would ship by May 31, which...
Trump dismisses inflation concerns ahead of Fox Business interview
Trump dismissed rising inflation reports during comments from Las Vegas, and the prediction market for his upcoming Fox Business interview...
López Aliaga faces legal scrutiny for remarks, odds drop in Peru election
Roberto Sánchez has accused Rafael López Aliaga of avoiding legal scrutiny for inflammatory remarks. López Aliaga’s chances of winning the...
Israeli envoy warns of reaction if threatened, straining Israel-Iran relations
Israeli UN envoy Danny Danon warned that Israel would react if threatened, adding friction to already strained Israel-Iran relations. The...
CFTC Uses Microsoft AI Tools to Surveil Crypto and Prediction Markets, Chairman Tells Congress
Key Takeaways: CFTC Chairman Michael Selig confirmed the agency is deploying AI and automation tools to surveil markets with a...
Hezbollah launches rockets into northern Israel hours after ceasefire
Hezbollah reportedly launched rockets into northern Israel just hours after a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect. The market...
Eric Swalwell resigns from Congress amid misconduct allegations
Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress following sexual misconduct allegations, and the “Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?”...
Iran endorses Israel-Lebanon ceasefire as part of US-brokered deal
Iran’s Foreign Ministry endorsed the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, framing it as part of a larger agreement with the...
