Pentagon targets Iran’s fast-attack fleet with anti-drug tactics
The Pentagon is adapting tactics used against Caribbean drug traffickers to target Iran’s fast-attack fleet. Kharg Island control by April...
Prediction Markets
Bitcoin funding rates hit lows, signaling potential market bottom
Bitcoin funding rates are at historically low levels, suggesting a market bottom as heavy short positioning raises the risk of...
Charles Schwab to offer direct Bitcoin trading to 38.9M accounts
Charles Schwab will offer direct Bitcoin trading to its 38.9 million brokerage accounts. The Polymarket contract on Bitcoin dipping to...
Eric Swalwell resigns from Congress amid sexual assault allegations
Eric Swalwell has resigned from Congress following sexual assault allegations, and the Polymarket contract predicting his departure by May 31...
Trump claims Iran agreed to abandon nuclear ambitions amid sanction talks
Trump claims Iran has “totally agreed” to abandon its nuclear ambitions, pushing odds for Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction...
Iran seeks Lebanon’s inclusion in US ceasefire deal, complicating negotiations
Iran wants Lebanon included in any ceasefire agreement with the US. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 22...
$7.4B in crypto long positions at risk if Bitcoin closes $67,180 CME gap
Over $7.4 billion in long positions face liquidation if Bitcoin dips to close the $67,180 CME gap. Bitcoin above $68,000...
Iranian advisor threatens US warships, impacting uranium market dynamics
Iranian military advisor Mohsen Rezaei’s remarks threatening to sink US warships have pushed odds lower on the uranium transfer market....
US-Iran deal delay pushes oil futures higher, Brent crude up over $4
A report suggesting the US may take six months to finalize an Iran deal has sent oil futures climbing. The...
S&P 500 hits record 7,050 as US-Iran tensions ease
The S&P 500 reached a record high of 7,050 as signs of de-escalation in the US-Iran conflict emerge. The S&P...
US-Iran focus shifts to temporary agreement, easing ceasefire end concerns
US and Iranian negotiators are now focusing on a temporary agreement rather than a comprehensive peace deal. The odds of...
Gulf Arab, European leaders push for six-month US-Iran peace deal
Gulf Arab and European leaders are advocating for a six-month peace deal between the US and Iran, urging an extension...
Hezbollah MP’s rejection of Lebanon-Israel talks complicates ceasefire prospects
Hezbollah MP’s rejection of Lebanon’s direct talks with Israel is weighing on ceasefire prospects. The odds of an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire...
Israel and Lebanon agree to ceasefire starting at midnight
Israel and Lebanon have announced a ceasefire to begin at midnight. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30 market...
Netanyahu confirms IDF to stay in South Lebanon buffer zone amid ongoing ops
Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu announced the IDF will stay in the South Lebanon buffer zone. The market on suspension of...
