Fetterman comments fuel speculation on Iran leadership change amid US tensions
Sen. Fetterman’s comments on intensifying US military action against Iran are moving prediction markets. The Iran leadership change contract (by...
Prediction Markets
Pakistan reaffirms Lebanon’s role in US-Iran ceasefire amid ongoing conflict
Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry reaffirmed Lebanon’s inclusion in the US-Iran ceasefire, despite ongoing military operations. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...
Short-term Bitcoin holders move 60,000 BTC to exchanges, largest since February
Short-term Bitcoin holders transferred over 60,000 BTC to exchanges, the largest such move since February’s sell-off, and the Bitcoin all-time...
USS George H.W. Bush reroutes around Africa amid Houthi threats near Hormuz
The USS George H.W. Bush’s detour around Africa signals U.S. caution about Houthi threats near the Strait of Hormuz. Odds...
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust buys 13,571 BTC in six days
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust acquired 3,940 BTC yesterday, bringing its total to 13,571 BTC purchased over the last six days....
ECB’s DeMarco suggests two rate hikes if inflation risks grow
ECB’s DeMarco has signaled that two rate hikes could be justified if risks intensify, taking a hawkish stance on inflation....
Trump says US-Iran conflict “very close to over,” no ceasefire announced
Trump claims the U.S.-Iran conflict is “very close to over,” but no formal ceasefire has been announced. The odds for...
Bitcoin surpasses $72K amid US-Israeli airstrikes, Iran tensions escalate
Bitcoin rose 10% to over $72,000 after US-Israeli airstrikes and Iranian retaliation escalated geopolitical tensions. The Polymarket contract for Bitcoin...
Bitcoin steady amid S&P 500 record, geopolitical tensions keep traders cautious
Bitcoin is holding steady as the S&P 500 hits a record high, but the options market isn’t pricing in a...
Tech stocks drive NASDAQ, S&P 500 to records; Bitcoin hits $75K
Tech stocks pushed the Nasdaq to 24,016 and the S&P 500 to 7,022, while Bitcoin reached $75K. The Polymarket contract...
ECB’s Muller: Rate move at April meeting still possible but not guaranteed
ECB’s Madis Muller says a rate move at the April 29-30 meeting remains on the table but isn’t guaranteed. The...
Israel rejects ceasefire proposals amid Lebanon tensions
The Israeli Broadcasting Authority confirmed there are no ceasefire instructions for Lebanon. The market for a ceasefire by April 30...
Japan commits $10B to aid Asia amid Iran-linked oil crisis
Japan has committed $10 billion to help Asian countries manage the ongoing oil crisis linked to the Iran war. The...
Bitcoin exchange inflows hit 11K BTC/hour as price reaches $76K resistance
Bitcoin exchange inflows surged to approximately 11,000 BTC per hour as the price hit $76,000 resistance, the highest inflow rate...
Indonesia’s rupiah falls to 17,140 per USD amid Middle East tensions
Indonesia’s rupiah slid to 17,140 per USD, reversing earlier gains as Middle East tensions rise. The Polymarket contract for a...
