Onchain Data Flags Suspicious Bets on Polymarket and Hyperliquid Ahead of Trump’s Iran Deal
Trump struck a two-week ceasefire with Iran on April 7, 2026, and within hours, blockchain These figures have not been...
Prediction Markets
Bitcoin nears $100K target as Strait of Hormuz tensions ease, capital shifts
Bitcoin’s probability of reaching $100,000 by December 31 has climbed to 36.5%, up from 31% yesterday, as traders react to...
Iran delays naming negotiating lead, signaling stalled talks
Iran has not yet chosen its negotiating team lead, signaling stalled talks. The ceasefire by April 15 market sits at...
Iran declares US-Israel defeat after ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, China
Iran’s National Security Council declared a U.S.-Israel defeat after Pakistan and China brokered a ceasefire. The ceasefire by April 15...
EU calls for Strait of Hormuz reopening amid US-Iran ceasefire
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas called for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and continued mediation during the US-Iran ceasefire....
US forces intensify SERE training amid heightened Iran conflict risks
Elite U.S. military forces are engaged in SERE training for surviving and evading capture behind enemy lines during the ongoing...
Iran plans US talks in Islamabad, claims war objectives mostly achieved
Iran’s SNSC announced plans for talks with the US in Islamabad, stating war objectives are mostly achieved. The ceasefire by...
Why Long-Term Profitability Remains Elusive for 99% of Polymarket Users
Key Takeaways: As the profit threshold rises, the “winner’s circle” becomes almost microscopic, with 0.32% (8,000 addresses) having net wins...
Iran drone attack on Bahraini facility extinguished with no casualties
Iran’s drone attack on a Bahraini facility was extinguished with no casualties. The Iranian regime fall by June 30 market...
Iran maintains regional influence despite military setbacks, complicating ceasefire
Iran’s ability to maintain regional influence despite military setbacks complicates ceasefire prospects. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 15 market is...
Iran agrees to 14-day ceasefire contingent on Strait of Hormuz reopening
Iran has agreed to a 14-day ceasefire contingent on the Strait of Hormuz reopening. The ceasefire by April 15 market...
Bitcoin spot ETFs see $159M outflow, XRP ETFs gain $3.3M
Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a $159 million outflow on April 7, but odds of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by year-end on...
Islamic Resistance in Iraq targets US bases with Al-Arqab missile launch
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq released footage of an “Al-Arqab” missile launch targeting U.S. bases. The odds of U.S. forces...
Republicans urge Trump to seek Congress approval for Iran military actions
Some Republicans are calling for President Trump to seek Congressional approval for continued military operations in Iran. The market for...
Trump’s Iran uranium statement boosts ceasefire prospects
Trump’s statement on managing Iran’s uranium as part of the ceasefire deal has pushed odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by...
