S&P 500 and NASDAQ reach record highs amid US-Iran tensions
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at all-time highs while the US-Iran conflict continues. The Polymarket contract for the S&P...
Prediction Markets
Gaza death toll rises to 72,345 amid ongoing conflict, pressuring Netanyahu
The Gaza Health Ministry has reported over 72,345 Palestinian deaths amid ongoing conflict, while Polymarket’s Netanyahu exit by June 30...
Pakistan mediates US-Iran peace talks as ceasefire deadline looms
Pakistan is attempting to mediate another round of US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, following last weekend’s failed negotiations and days...
Syrian army enters Qasrak base after US troop withdrawal in Hasakah
Syrian army forces have reportedly entered the Qasrak base in northern Hasakah following the U.S. troop withdrawal. The US Forces...
XRP rises 4% amid $17.6M ETF inflows, market eyes April 19 price target
XRP rose 4% on April 15, driven by spot ETF inflows of $17.6 million. The Polymarket contract for XRP above...
Bitcoin holds steady at $75K amid US-Iran tensions, traders eye $60K dip
Bitcoin is holding steady near $75,000 as traders eye short-term profit opportunities amid heightened geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin’s potential dip to...
IDF to acquire 5,000 FPV drones amid Hezbollah tensions
The IDF is acquiring 5,000 FPV assault drones from Xtend, and the Polymarket contract on Israeli military action in Beirut...
US-Iran ceasefire breach market falls as Pentagon signals reduced conflict risk
Larry Johnson’s claims of a hollow blockade and depleted arsenal have driven the US-Iran ceasefire breach market sharply lower. The...
CENTCOM loophole allows non-oil ships through US blockade at Strait of Hormuz
CENTCOM’s legal definitions have left a loophole in the U.S. blockade on Iranian ports, allowing non-oil cargo ships to transit...
Iran boosts drone production tenfold after 12-day war with US-Israel coalition
Iran has increased its destructive drone production by ten times following the 12-day war with the Israel-U.S. coalition. The likelihood...
Lebanon denies planned Israel contact, contradicts Trump statement
Lebanon denies any planned contact with Israel, contradicting President Trump’s statement. The odds of an Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April...
ETF clients buy $17M in XRP amid US-Iran tension easing
ETF clients purchased $17.11 million worth of XRP on April 16, 2026, as a broader crypto market recovery tied to...
Iranian launchers ready to sink US warships, advisor warns
An advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader claimed that Iranian launchers are prepared to sink all US warships, pushing down the...
Joe Kent claims US intel agencies say Iran not pursuing nuclear weapon
Joe Kent, who recently resigned as Director of the US National Counterterrorism Center amid an FBI investigation, claims all 18...
Iran military threats escalate as ECB warns of COVID-like supply chain disruption
Iran’s military rhetoric has escalated with press statements hinting at readiness to sink US warships. Odds for no US-Iran diplomatic...
