Iranian advisor threatens US warships, impacting uranium market dynamics
Iranian military advisor Mohsen Rezaei’s remarks threatening to sink US warships have pushed odds lower on the uranium transfer market....
Prediction Markets
US-Iran deal delay pushes oil futures higher, Brent crude up over $4
A report suggesting the US may take six months to finalize an Iran deal has sent oil futures climbing. The...
S&P 500 hits record 7,050 as US-Iran tensions ease
The S&P 500 reached a record high of 7,050 as signs of de-escalation in the US-Iran conflict emerge. The S&P...
US-Iran focus shifts to temporary agreement, easing ceasefire end concerns
US and Iranian negotiators are now focusing on a temporary agreement rather than a comprehensive peace deal. The odds of...
Gulf Arab, European leaders push for six-month US-Iran peace deal
Gulf Arab and European leaders are advocating for a six-month peace deal between the US and Iran, urging an extension...
Hezbollah MP’s rejection of Lebanon-Israel talks complicates ceasefire prospects
Hezbollah MP’s rejection of Lebanon’s direct talks with Israel is weighing on ceasefire prospects. The odds of an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire...
Israel and Lebanon agree to ceasefire starting at midnight
Israel and Lebanon have announced a ceasefire to begin at midnight. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30 market...
Netanyahu confirms IDF to stay in South Lebanon buffer zone amid ongoing ops
Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu announced the IDF will stay in the South Lebanon buffer zone. The market on suspension of...
House narrowly rejects resolution to halt Operation Epic Fury, continues Iran ops
The House narrowly rejected a Democrat-led War Powers Resolution to halt Operation Epic Fury by a 213-214 vote. The US...
US Navy blockade halts Iran oil exports, impacts China supply chain
The U.S. Navy’s blockade on Iranian ports has stopped Iran’s oil exports for over 48 hours, cutting off a major...
Trump to host Israeli, Lebanese leaders at White House for talks by April 19
Trump plans to host Israeli and Lebanese leaders at the White House. The Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19 market...
Iranian oil tankers bypass US blockade, move 11M barrels through Sea of Oman
Iranian oil tankers have moved 11 million barrels through the Sea of Oman despite a U.S. naval blockade. The Strait...
Iran demands US commitments, impacting peace deal timeline
Iran’s demand that the US meet its commitments has driven down odds of a permanent peace deal by April 22,...
ECB holds rates steady amid ‘layer cake of shocks’ as April decision looms
The European Central Bank has maintained its current rates, with President Christine Lagarde citing a “layer cake of shocks” hitting...
Iran demands framework before new talks, stalling US-Iran meeting prospects
Iran’s insistence on establishing a framework before new talks has weakened prospects for a US-Iran meeting by April 30. The...
