US-Iran deal talks lower oil prices, impact prediction markets
News of the US and Iran nearing a deal has caused oil prices to fall. The odds of the Iranian...
Prediction Markets
US and Israel plan Iran strikes as ceasefire odds drop
The U.S. and Israel are preparing military strikes inside Iran if negotiations fail. Ceasefire by April 7 sits at 5.7%...
Pakistan-Iran ceasefire talks boost April 15 market optimism
Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is negotiating a ceasefire with Iran, with US Vice President JD Vance as the intermediary....
Iran considers two-week ceasefire as April 15 odds climb
Iran is considering a two-week ceasefire proposed by Pakistan. The odds of a ceasefire by April 15 have risen to...
Iranian hackers escalate attacks on US infrastructure amid rising military odds
Iranian hackers have intensified attacks on US critical infrastructure, according to the US government. This escalation occurs as military conflicts...
Kuwait, Bahrain close bridges amid Iran threats, ceasefire odds climb
Kuwait and Bahrain have shut down major bridges following threats from Iran against transport infrastructure. The odds of a US-Iran...
Iran strengthens position in US-Israeli conflict as military escalation looms
Iran’s strengthened position in the US-Israeli conflict has led to the rejection of US peace proposals. Ceasefire odds by April...
Report: Meme Prediction Market App Giggles Raises $1.2M as Crypto Social Apps Compete for Gen Z
Key Takeaways: 1kx called Giggles “a compelling new design space at the intersection of social behavior, market design, and crypto-native...
Fox Corporation Partners With Kalshi to Add Prediction Market Data to FOX News and FOX One
Key Takeaways: Fox Corporation is integrating Kalshi prediction market data across FOX News, FOX Business, FOX Weather, and FOX One...
Houthi threat spikes US-Iran ceasefire odds as Bab el-Mandeb tensions rise
The Houthis have threatened to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait to deter Gulf states from joining US-Israeli military actions against...
Iran leadership crisis as Khamenei reportedly unconscious, regime fall odds spike
Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is reportedly unconscious, raising concerns about leadership in Iran. The odds of the Iranian regime...
US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as negotiation gaps widen ahead of deadline
US officials doubt the US-Iran negotiation gaps will close by Trump’s Tuesday deadline. Ceasefire odds for April 7 are at...
US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as Trump’s deadline looms
US officials declared the gaps in US-Iran negotiations insurmountable by Trump’s Tuesday deadline. Ceasefire by April 7 sits at 1%...
Khamenei unconscious in Qom raises concerns over Iran’s leadership stability
Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme Leader, is reportedly unconscious in Qom, raising concerns about leadership stability amid ongoing conflict. The market...
Mojtaba Khamenei unconscious, odds of Iran regime fall rise to 13.5% by June 30
Mojtaba Khamenei is reportedly unconscious in Qom, increasing speculation about Iran’s leadership during the ongoing conflict. The odds of the...
