Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86% amid military tensions
Speculation about a potential ground invasion of Iran has pushed the odds of US forces entering the country by April...
Prediction Markets
Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 surge to 86% after F-15E downing
A U.S. F-15E was downed, prompting a rescue operation near Isfahan. Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30...
US forces’ odds of entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86% after F-15E rescue
U.S. special operations forces successfully rescued two crew members of a downed F-15E in Iran. The odds of US forces...
Vance prepares for Iran talks as US ceasefire odds drop to 1% by April 7
Vice President J.D. Vance is preparing for talks with Iran, suggesting possible de-escalation. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by...
Polymarket Unveils Exchange Overhaul, Native Stablecoin as U.S. Expansion Looms
Bitcoin and crypto focused prediction market platform Polymarket (more…)
Bitcoin rises as markets await Trump’s Iran deadline, June 30 price target in focus: ZeroHedge
Bitcoin’s value increased as markets remained cautious ahead of Trump’s Iran deadline. The odds for Bitcoin exceeding $100,000 by June...
Polymarket’s April 2026 Upgrade: New Stablecoin, Faster Order Matching, Smart Contract Wallet Support
Key Takeaways: Polymarket launched Polymarket USD on April 6, 2026, replacing bridged USDC.e as collateral across all prediction markets. The...
New Jersey Loses Bid to Shut Down Kalshi Sports Contracts After Federal Appeal
Key Takeaways: A Third Circuit appeals court ruled 2-1 on April 6, 2026, that federal law blocks New Jersey from...
Iran rejects ceasefire, demands permanent resolution amid rising tensions
Iran has rejected a ceasefire, demanding a permanent resolution as tensions rise. The odds for a ceasefire by April 7...
Trump claims Iran’s leadership is more moderate, but traders remain skeptical: FT
Trump asserts Iran’s leadership has become more moderate following a regime change. The market for the Iranian regime falling by...
Geopolitical tensions hinder Bitcoin’s $100K prospects by June 2026: Binance Research
Binance Research’s latest report suggests geopolitical tensions are dampening prospects for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by June 30, 2026. The odds...
Trump’s remarks on Iran drop ceasefire odds to 1.1% for April 7
Trump called Iran “animals” and claimed they are losing, dropping the odds of a ceasefire by April 7 to 1.1%...
Trump’s comments slash US-Iran ceasefire odds to 1% by April 7
Trump’s harsh words about Iran have slashed the odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 to just 1% YES,...
Trump hints at US withdrawal from Iran, markets react with declining odds
President Trump suggested a U.S. withdrawal from Iran soon, but emphasized completing ongoing operations. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 7...
Trump hints at US withdrawal from Iran, markets show mixed optimism for ceasefire
President Trump suggested the US might leave Iran soon, aiming to complete ongoing objectives first. The ceasefire by April 30...
