Explosions in Tehran raise odds of Iranian regime falling to 14% by June 30
Explosions rocked southern Tehran, raising concerns over regime stability. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 are...
Prediction Markets
Odds for US ground forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86% after colonel’s mission
A U.S. Air Force colonel’s mission in Iran, amid ongoing military operations, has pushed the odds for US ground forces...
US forces entering Iran by April 30 now 86% likely after colonel’s rescue
A U.S. Air Force colonel’s rescue from Iran confirms ground operations. US forces entering Iran by April 30 is at...
US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid escalating conflict over dollar control
The US-Iran conflict over control of dollar transactions in global energy trade is intensifying. Odds of a ceasefire by April...
Iran’s yuan oil trade complicates US-Iran ceasefire efforts, market confidence drops
Iran’s insistence on yuan-denominated oil trade through the Strait of Hormuz complicates US-Iran ceasefire efforts. Ceasefire by April 7 sits...
Iran’s regime fall odds rise to 13.5% after rejecting Trump’s offer: sources
The Iranian regime faces potential escalation after rejecting Trump’s offer, with the odds of the regime falling by June 30...
US military rescue mission in Iran raises April 30 entry odds to 86.5%
U.S. forces conducted a covert rescue mission in Iran, retrieving a stranded navigator. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by...
US special forces rescue navigator in Iran, boosting April 30 operation odds
U.S. special forces rescued a navigator stranded in Iran, pushing “US forces enter Iran by April 30” to 86.5% YES,...
Bitcoin price surpasses $68,000 as traders eye $100,000 by June 30: FT
Bitcoin’s price has climbed above $68,000, with market odds for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by June 30 still uncertain. This price...
Bitwise CIO predicts Bitcoin could hit $1M by 2035 with 15% dominance: FT
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan predicts Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2035 if it achieves 15% market dominance. Bitcoin above...
Ceasefire odds plummet as Trump threatens Iran, traders eye May for movement
Trump’s threat of strikes on Iran and Iran’s warning of retaliation have plummeted ceasefire odds. The April 7 ceasefire market...
Iran missile attacks on Kuwait raise US forces entry odds to 86% by April 30
Iran launched missile attacks on Kuwait, leading the UAE to consider joining a US-led mission to secure the Strait of...
Iran missile attacks on Kuwait escalate conflict as UAE joins US-led mission
Iran launched missile attacks on Kuwait, and the UAE is joining a US-led mission to secure the Strait of Hormuz....
Trump threatens to destroy Iran’s infrastructure as ceasefire odds plummet
Trump has threatened to destroy Iran’s infrastructure unless the Strait of Hormuz is reopened. The odds for a ceasefire by...
Iran vows retaliation against US attacks, reducing ceasefire odds significantly: FT
Iran has announced plans to retaliate against US attacks, rejecting US influence in negotiations. The chance of a US-Iran ceasefire...
