Ceasefire hopes fade as US and Iran remain at an impasse
U.S. and Iran aren’t negotiating due to irreconcilable differences, quashing hopes for a deal. Ceasefire by April 7 sits at...
Prediction Markets
Ceasefire odds for US-Iran talks plummet, April 7 now just 1% YES
US-Iran negotiations continue, with Trump extending a pause on strikes to support talks. However, the odds of a ceasefire by...
Iraqi PMF forces enter Iran as US troop involvement odds surge to 86%
Iraqi PMF forces have entered Iran to support the regime amid ongoing protests and potential conflict with the US. The...
Iraqi PMF forces enter Iran, raising odds of US troops entering by April 30 to 86%
Iraqi PMF forces have reportedly entered Iran’s Khuzestan province to support the Iranian regime. This has pushed the odds of...
Odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86.5% after F-15E recovery
U.S. forces have recovered a crew member from a downed F-15E inside Iranian territory, confirming ground operations. Odds for U.S....
US considers seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions
The U.S. is considering seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions. Ceasefire by April 7 sits at 1% YES, down...
US considers seizing strategic islands near Iran, ceasefire odds plummet
The US is considering seizing strategic islands near Iran, escalating tensions. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have...
Schwab to launch spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading in early 2026
Charles Schwab plans to launch spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading through its banking subsidiary in early 2026. The market for...
Schwab to launch spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading in early 2026
Charles Schwab will launch spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading in early 2026. The market for Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 by June...
US-Europe alliance strains over Iran conflict as ceasefire odds drop to 1%
The U.S.-Europe alliance is under strain due to the Iran conflict, with ceasefire odds by April 7 plummeting to 1%...
US-Europe alliance strains over Iran conflict as ceasefire odds plummet
The U.S.-Europe alliance is under severe strain over the Iran conflict. Ceasefire by April 7 sits at 1% YES, down...
US forces’ entry into Iran by April 30 market jumps to 86% amid clashes
U.S. and Iranian forces clashed in southwestern Iran during a U.S. mission to recover a missing F-15E crew member. The...
US-Iran clash raises odds for troop deployment to 86% by April 30
A U.S.-Iran clash in southwestern Iran has shaken markets. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 have jumped...
Pentagon reports progress in Operation Epic Fury as Iran remains defiant
The Pentagon reports advances in Operation Epic Fury against Iran, but Iran remains defiant. The odds for a ceasefire by...
Traders skeptical of US-Iran ceasefire as April 7 odds drop to 1%
The Pentagon reports advances against Iran, but Iran remains defiant. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 have plummeted to...
