Iran threatens to target Zionist embassies amid Operation True Promise 4 footage
Iran has released footage of Operation True Promise 4 and threatened to target Zionist embassies if attacked. The probability of...
Prediction Markets
Iran threatens Zionist embassies amid rising regime fall odds to 13.5% by June 30
Iran released footage of Operation True Promise 4 and threatened Zionist embassies if attacked. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Bitcoin ETFs see $69.6M inflows in April 2026, but $100K target remains at 0% YES
Bitcoin ETFs see $69.59 million inflows in April 2026, but odds of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by June 30 remain at...
Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid Israel-Iran military escalation
Israel’s attack on Iran’s oil facilities and Iran’s disruption of the Strait of Hormuz have hit the probability of a...
Israel escalates conflict with Iran, targeting oil facilities and reducing global flows
Israel targeted Iranian oil facilities, escalating a conflict that has already reduced global oil flows. Ceasefire by April 7 sits...
Odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 14% amid military escalation
Fighter jets over Tehran and Bushehr caused explosions, according to Iranian media. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by...
Odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 13.5% amid US-Israeli air campaign
Fighter jets over Tehran and Bushehr caused explosions, according to Iranian media. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by...
Bitcoin ETFs see $8.9M inflow as Ethereum leads with $71.1M on April 4: FT
Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $8.99 million on April 4, contrasting with March’s $1.32 billion. Odds for Bitcoin hitting...
Bitcoin ETFs see $8.9M inflows amid cautious market sentiment: FT
Bitcoin ETFs recorded $8.99 million in net inflows on April 4, 2026. This follows a strong March with $1.32 billion...
EU tariffs on US goods by September 30 loom as Trump escalates trade tensions
Trump’s reputation as a dealmaker challenging major powers stirs trade tensions. The odds of the EU imposing retaliatory tariffs on...
Market odds for Iranian regime change by June 30 drop to 13.5% as skepticism grows: FT
A former CIA operative has stated that regime change in Iran is more challenging than the US anticipates. The market...
Odds of Iranian regime change by June 30 drop to 13.5% from 20% a week ago
A former CIA operative claims regime change in Iran is tougher than the US perceives. The odds of the Iranian...
Explosions in Tehran raise odds of regime change to 14% by June 30
Multiple explosions rocked Tehran today, according to Iranian media. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 now...
Explosions in Tehran boost odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 to 14% YES
Multiple explosions were reported in Tehran by Iranian media. The market for the Iranian regime falling by June 30 is...
Trump continues talks despite Iran downing two US jets; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1%
Trump continues negotiations despite Iran shooting down two US jets. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are...
